Recent Publications by Group Members (click titles for journal link)
2023
McKaughan, J. E. T., Stephens, P. A., & Hill, R. A. (2023). Estimating mesocarnivore abundance on commercial farmland using distance sampling with camera traps. Ecological Solutions and Evidence, 4, e12229. https://doi.org/10.1002/2688-8319.12229
2022
Mason, S.S., Hill, R.A., Whittingham, M.J., Cokill, J., Smith, G.C. & Stephens, P.A. (2022) Camera trap distance sampling for terrestrial mammal population monitoring: lessons learnt from a UK case study. Remote Sensing in Ecology and Conservation, 8, 717-730.
Hsing, P.-Y., Hill, R.A., Smith, G.C., Bradley, S.P., Green, S.E., Kent, V.T., Mason, S.S., Rees, J.P., Whittingham, M.J., Cokill, J. & Stephens, P.A. (2022) Large-scale mammal monitoring: the potential of a citizen science camera-trapping project in the UK. Ecological Solutions and Evidence, 3, e12180
Green, S.E., Stephens, P.A., Whittingham, M.J & Hill, R.A. (2022) Camera trapping with photos and videos: implications for ecology and citizen science. Remote Sensing in Ecology and Conservation. https://doi.org/10.1002/rse2.309.
Voskamp, A., Hof, C., Biber, M.F., Böhning-Gaese, K., Hickler, T., Niamir, A., Willis, S.G. & Fritz, S.A. (2022) Projected climate change impacts on the phylogenetic diversity of the world's terrestrial birds: more than species numbers. Proceedings B 289, https://doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2021.2184.
Pearce-Higgins, J.W., Antão, L.H., Bates, R.E., Bowgen, K.M., Bradshaw, C.D., Duffield, S.J., Ffoulkes, C., Franco, A.M.A., Geschke, J., Gregory, R.D., Harley, M.J., Hodgson, J.A., Jenkins, R.L.M., Kapos, V., Maltby, K.M., Watts, O., Willis, S.G. & Morecroft, M.D. (2022) A framework for climate change adaptation indicators for the natural environment. Ecological Indicators 136, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2022.108690.
Gibson, M.R., Runge, C.A., Stephens, P.A., Fuller, R.A. & Willis, S.G. (2022) Where nothing stands still: quantifying nomadism in Australian arid-zone birds. Landscape Ecology 37, 191-208. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10980-021-01343-2
O’Neill, H.M., Twiss, S.D., Stephens, P.A., Mason, T.H.E., Ryrholm, N. & Burman, J. (2022) The importance of direct and indirect trophic interactions in determining the presence of a locally rare day-flying moth. Oecologia, 198, 531-542. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00442-021-05100-9.
Marion, S., Demšar, U., Davies, A.L., Stephens, P.A., Irvine, R.J. & Long J.A. (2022) Spatial and temporal variation in interspecific interaction: impact of a recreational landscape. European Journal of Wildlife Research, 68:36. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10344-022-01584-9.
Lawrence, K.B., Barlow, C.R., Bensusan, K., Perez, C. & Willis S.G. (2022) Phenological trends in the pre‐and post‐breeding migration of long‐distance migratory birds. Global Change Biology 28, 375-389. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.15916
Stewart, P.S., Voskamp, A., Santini, L., Biber, M.F., Devenish, A.J.M., Hof, C., Willis, S.G., and Tobias, J.T., (2022) Global impacts of climate change on avian functional diversity. Ecology Letters, 25, 673– 685. https://doi.org/10.1111/ele.13830
Marion, S., Demšar, U., Davies, A.L., Stephens, P.A., Irvine, R.J. & Long J.A. (2022) Red deer behavioural response to hiking activity: A study using camera traps. Journal of Zoology, 317, 249-261
2021
Stewart, P.S., Hill, R.A., Stephens, P.A., Whittingham, M.J., Dawson, W. (2021) Impacts of invasive plants on animal behaviour. Ecology Letters 24, 891-907.
Baker, E., Drury, J.P., Judge, J., Roy, D.B., Smith, G.C. and Stephens, P.A. (2021) The Verification of Ecological Citizen Science Data: Current Approaches and Future Possibilities. Citizen Science: Theory and Practice, 6, http://doi.org/10.5334/cstp.351
Titley, M.A., Butchart, S.H.M., Jones, V.R., Whittingham, M.J., Willis, S.G., (2021) Global inequities and political borders challenge nature conservation under climate change, PNAS , 118 (7) e2011204118; DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2011204118
Mason, T.H., Stephens, P.A., Gilbert, G., Green, R.E., Wilson, J.D., Jennings, K., Allen, J.R., Huntley, B., Howard, C. and Willis, S.G., (2021). Using indices of species’ potential range to inform conservation status. Ecological Indicators, 123, p.107343.
Chirichella, R., Stephens, P.A., Mason, T.H.E. & Apollonio, M. (2021) Contrasting Effects of Climate Change on Alpine chamois. Journal of Wildlife Management 85, 109-20.
Dickinson, E.R., Stephens, P.A., Marks, N.J., Wilson, R.P. & Scantlebury, D.M. (2021) Behaviour, temperature and terrain slope impact estimates of energy expenditure using oxygen and dynamic body acceleration. Animal Biotelemetry, 9, 47. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40317-021-00269-5
Pettorelli, N., Barlow, J., Nunez, M.A., Rader, R., Stephens, P.A., Pinfield, T. & Newton, E. (2021) How international journals can support ecology from the Global South. Journal of Applied Ecology 58, 4-8.
Dickinson, E.R., Twining, J.P., Wilson, R.P., Stephens, P.A., Westander, J. Marks, N.J. & Scantlebury, D.M. (2021) Limitations of using surrogates for behaviour classification of accelerometer data: refining methods using random forest models in Caprids. Movement Ecology 9, 28. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40462-021-00265-7.
Marion, S., Demšar, U., Davies, A.L., Stephens, P.A., Irvine, R.J. & Long J.A. (2021) Red deer exhibit spatial and temporal responses to hiking activity. Wildlife Biology, 2021, wlb.00853. https://doi.org/10.2981/wlb.00853.
Beatham, S.E., Goodwin, D., Coats, J., Stephens, P.A. & Massei, G. (2021) A PIT‐tag–based method for measuring individual bait uptake in small mammals. Ecological Solutions and Evidence, 2, e12081. https://doi.org/10.1002/2688-8319.12081.
2020
Apollonio, M., Merli, E., Chirichella, R., Pokorny, B., Alagic, A., Flajsman, K. & Stephens, P.A. (2020) Capital and Income Breeding in Male Ungulates: Causes and Consequences of Strategy Differences Among Species. Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution 8, 521767
Howard, C., Stephens, P.A., Pearce-Higgins, J.W., Gregory, R.D, Butchart, S.H.M., & Willis, S.G. (2020) Disentangling the relative roles of climate and land cover change in driving the long-term population trends of European migratory birds. Diversity and Distributions 00, 1-14
Jarrett, D., Calladine, J., Cotton, A., Wilson, M. and Humphreys, E. 2020. Behavioural responses of non-breeding waterbirds to drone approach are associated with flock size and habitat, Bird Study. 67(2), 190-196.
Brooker, S.A., Stephens, P.A., Whittingham, M.J. & Willis, S.G. (2020) Automated detection and classification of birdsong: an ensemble approach. Ecological Indicators 117, 106609
Ferretti, F., Lovari, S., Lucherini, M., Hayward, M.W. & Stephens, P.A. (2020) Only the largest terrestrial Carnivores increase their dietary breadth with increasing prey richness. Mammal Review 50, 291-303
Hsing, P.-Y., Coghill, L., Ryder, J., Austin, M., Dooley, S., Ellison, A., Fenwick, C., Garland, M., Humphrey, P., Proudlock, H., Robson, A., Steer, C., Turnbull, L., Kent, V.T., Bradley, S.P., Hill, R.A., Ascroft, R. & Stephens, P.A. (2020) Citizen scientists: school students conducting, contributing to and communicating ecological research - experiences of a school-university partnership. School Science Review 101, 67-74
Dickinson, E.R., Stephens, P.A., Marks, N.J., Wilson, R.P. & Scantlebury, D.M. (2020) Best practice for collar deployment of tri-axial accelerometers on a terrestrial quadruped to provide accurate measurement of body acceleration. Animal Biotelemetry 8, 9
Howard, C., Flather, C.H. & Stephens, P.A. A global assessment of the drivers of threatened terrestrial species richness. Nature Communications 11, 993 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-14771-6
Docherty, T., Hethcoat, M., MacTavish, L., MacTavish, D., Dell, S., Stephens, P.A. & Willis, S.G. (2020) Burning savanna for avian species richness and functional diversity. Ecological Applications. https://doi.org/10.1002/eap.2091
Green, S.E., Rees, J.P., Stephens, P.A., Hill, R.A. & Giordano, A.J. (2020) Innovations in Camera Trapping Technology and Approaches: Applications for Citizen Science. Animals 10, 132. https://doi.org/10.3390/ani10010132
Marion, S., Davies, A., Demsar, U., Irvine, R.J., Stephens, P.A. & Long, J. (2020) A systematic review of methods for studying the impacts of outdoor recreation on terrestrial wildlife. Global Ecology and Conservation 22, e00917. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gecco.2020.e00917
2019
Mason, L. R., Green, R. E., Howard, C., Stephens, P. A., Willis, S. G., Aunins, A., … Gregory, R. D. (2019) Population responses of bird populations to climate change on two continents vary with species’ ecological traits but not with direction of change in climate suitability. Climatic Change. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-019-02549-9
Littlewood, N. A., Mason, T. H. E., Hughes, M., Jaques, R., Whittingham, M. J., & Willis, S. G. (2019) The influence of different aspects of grouse moorland management on nontarget bird assemblages. Ecology and Evolution, 9(19), 11089–11101. https://doi.org/10.1002/ece3.5613
Bradfer-Lawrence, T., Gardner, N., Bunnefeld, L., Bunnefeld, N., Willis, S. G., & Dent, D. H. (2019) Guidelines for the use of acoustic indices in environmental research. Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 10(10), 1796–1807. https://doi.org/10.1111/2041-210X.13254
Stephens, P.A., Vieira, M.V., Willis, S.G. & Carbone, C. (2019) The limits to population density in birds and mammals. Ecology Letters doi: 10.1111/ele.13227
Nunez, M.A., Barlow, J., Cadotte, M.W., Lucas, K., Newton, E., Pettorelli, N. & Stephens, P.A. (2019) Assessing the uneven global distribution of readership, submissions and publications in applied ecology: Obvious problems without obvious solutions. Journal of Applied Ecology 56, 4-9
Howard, C., Flather, C. H., & Stephens, P. A. (2019) What drives at-risk species richness? Environmental factors are more influential than anthropogenic factors or biological traits. Conservation Letters, 12(2), e12624. https://doi.org/10.1111/conl.12624
2018
Hof, C., Voskamp, A., Biber, M. F., Böhning-Gaese, K., Engelhardt, E. K., Niamir, A., Willis, S.G., & Hickler, T. (2018). Bioenergy cropland expansion may offset positive effects of climate change mitigation for global vertebrate diversity. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 115(52), 13294 LP – 13299. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1807745115
Stephens, P.A. (2018) Ecology: Luck, Scarcity, and the Fate of Populations. Current Biology 28, R1384-1386
Burgess, M.D., Smith, K.W., Leech, D., Pearce-Higgins, J.W., Branston, C.J., Briggs, K., Clark, J.R., Evans, K.L., du Feu, C.R., Nager, R., Sheldon, B.C., Smith, J., Whytock, R.C., Willis, S.G. and Phillimore, A.B. (2018) Tritrophic phenological match-mismatch in space and time. Nature Ecology and Evolution.
Cusack, J. J., Duthie, B., Rakotonarivo, S., Pozo, R. A., Mason, T.H.E. et al. (2018) Time series analysis reveals synchrony and asynchrony between conflict management effort and increasing large grazing bird populations in northern Europe. Conservation Letters.
Howard, C., Stephens, P. A., Tobias, J. A., Sheard, C., Butchart, S. H., & Willis, S. G. (2018) Flight range, fuel load and the impact of climate change on the journeys of migrant birds. Proc. R. Soc. B 285(1873), 20172329.
Mason, T. H. E., Keane, A., Redpath, S.M., & Bunnefeld, N. (2018) The changing environment of conservation conflict: geese and farming in Scotland. Journal of Applied Ecology
Hsing, P.-Y., Bradley, S.P., Kent, V.T., Hill, R.A., Smith, G.C., Whittingham, M.J., Cokill, J., Crawley, D., MammalWeb Volunteers, Stephens, P.A. (2018) Economical crowdsourcing for camera trap image classification. Remote Sensing in Ecology and Conservation 4, 361-374 https://doi.org/10.1002/rse2.84
Ferretti, F., Lovari, S. & Stephens, P.A. (2018) Joint effects of weather and interspecific competition on foraging behaviour and survival of a mountain herbivore. Current Zoology zoy032
Pettorelli, N., Barlow, J., Stephens, P.A., Durant, S.M., Connor, B., Schulte to Buhne, H., Sandom, C.J., Wentworth, J. & du Toit, J.T. (2018) Making rewilding fit for policy. Journal of Applied Ecology 55, 1114-1125
Barlow, J., Stephens, P.A., Bode, M., Cadotte, M.W., Lucas, K., Newton, E., Nunez, M.A. & Pettorelli, N. (2018) On the extinction of the single-authored paper: The causes and consequences of increasingly collaborative applied ecological research. Journal of Applied Ecology 55, 1-4
2017
Zhao, Q.*, Mason T.H.E.*, Azeria, E.T., Le Blanc, M.L., Lemaître, J., Barnier, F., Bichet, O., & Fortin, D. (2017) Robust predictive performance of indicator species despite different co-occurrence patterns of birds in natural and managed boreal forests. Forest Ecology and Management 397, 108-116 *equal contribution
Mason, T. H. E., & Fortin, D. (2017) Functional responses in animal movement explain spatial heterogeneity in animal-habitat relationships. Journal of Animal Ecology
Mason, T. H. E., Brivio F., Stephens, P.A., Apollonio, M., & Grignolio, S. (2017) The behavioral trade-off between thermoregulation and foraging in a heat-sensitive species. Behavioral Ecology
Voskamp, A., Baker, D.J., Stephens, P.A., Valdes, P. & Willis, S.G. (2017) Global patterns in the divergence between phylogenetic diversity and species richness in terrestrial birds. Journal of Biogeography. DOI: 10.1111/jbi.12916
Cadotte, M.W., Barlow, J., Nunez, M.A., Pettorelli, & Stephens, P.A. (2017) Solving environmental problems in the Anthropocene: the need to bring novel theoretical advances into the applied ecology fold. Journal of Applied Ecology 54, 1-6.
2016
Bagchi, R., Hole, D.G., Butchart, S.H.M., Collingwood, Y.C., Fishpool, L., Plumptre, A., Owiunji, I., Mugabe, H. & Willis, S.G. (2016) Forecasting potential routes for movement of endemic birds among important sites for biodiversity in the Albertine Rift under projected climate change. Ecography
Baker, D.J., Hartley, I., Pearce-Higgins, J., Jones, R. & Willis, S.G. (2016) Neglected issues in using weather and climate information in ecology. Diversity and Distributions
Baker, D. J., Hartley, A. J., Butchart, S. H. M. & Willis, S. G. (2016) Choice of baseline climate data impacts projected species' responses to climate change. Global Change Biology 22, 2392-2404. DOI: 10.1111/gcb.13273
Sanderson, F.J., Pople, R.G., Ieronymidou, C., Burfield, I.J. Gregory, R.D., Willis, S.G., Howard, C., Stephens, P.A., Beresford, A.E. & Donald, P.F. (2016) Assessing the performance of EU nature legislation in protecting target bird species in an era of climate change. Conservation Letters 9, 172–180. DOI: 10.1111/conl.12196.
Stephens, P.A., L. R. Mason, R. E. Green, R. D. Gregory, J. R. Sauer, J. Alison, A. Aunins, L. Brotons, S. H. M. Butchart, T. Campedelli, T. Chodkiewicz, P. Chylarecki, O. Crowe, J. Elts, V. Escandell, R. P. B. Foppen, H. Heldbjerg, S. Herrando, M. Husby, F. Jiguet, A. Lehikoinen, A. Lindstrom, D. G. Noble, J.-Y. Paquet, J. Reif, T. Sattler, T. Szep, N. Teufelbauer, S. Trautmann, A. J. van Strien, C. A. M. van Turnhout, P. Vorisek, S. G. Willis. (2016) Consistent response of bird populations to climate change on two continents. Science 352 (6281), 84-87. DOI: 10.1126/science.aac4858
Davis, M.L., Stephens, P.A. & Kjellander, P. (in press) Beyond climate envelope projections: Roe deer survival and environmental change. Journal of Wildlife Management. doi: 10.1002/jwmg.1029.
Stephens, P.A. (2016) Population Viability Analysis. Oxford Bibliographies in Ecology. Ed. David Gibson. New York: Oxford University Press, 25/02/2016. doi: 10.1093/OBO/9780199830060-0142.
Barlow, J., Cadotte, M., Newton, E., Pettorelli, N., Plane, A., Stephens, P.A. & Whittingham, M.J. (2016) Achieving and communicating globally relevant applied ecological research. Journal of Applied Ecology 53, 1-4.
2015
Stephens, P.A. (2015) Land sparing, land sharing, and the fate of Africa’s lions. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the USA. 112, 14753–14754.
Palmer, G., Stephens, P.A., Ward, A.I. & Willis, S.G. (2015) Nationwide trophic cascades: changes in avian community structure driven by ungulates. Nature: Scientific Reports, 5:15602, doi: 10.1038/srep15601.
Howard, C., Stephens, P.A., Pearce-Higgins, J., Gregory, R.A. & Willis, S.G. (2015) The drivers of avian abundance: patterns in the relative importance of climate and land use. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 24, 1249-1260.
Baker, D. Burgess, N.D. Butchart, S.H.M., Carr, J., Hartley, A., Smith, R., Belle, E. & Willis, S.G. (2015) Assessing climate change impacts for vertebrate fauna across the West Africa protected area network using regionally appropriate climate projections. Diversity and Distributions, 21, 991-1003. DOI: 10.1111/ddi.12337.
Willis, S.G., Foden, W.B., Baker, D. Belle, E. Burgess, N.D., Carr, J., Doswald, N., Garcia, R., Hartley, A., Hof, C., Newbold, T., Rahbek, C., Smith, R., Visconti, P., Young, B. & Butchart, S.H.M. (2015) Integrating climate change vulnerability assessments from species distribution modelling and traits based approaches. Biological Conservation, 190, 167–178. DOI:10.1016/j.biocon.2015.05.001.
Bassi, E. Willis, S.G., Passilongo, D., Mattioli, L. & Apollonio, M. (2015) Predicting the spatial distribution of wolf (Canis lupus) breeding areas in a mountainous region of central Italy. PLoS One, 10(6): e0124698. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0124698.
Pacifici, M., Foden, W.B., Visconti, P., Watson, J.E.M., Butchart, S.H.M., Kovacs, K.M., Scheffers, B.R., Hole, D.G. Martin, T.G., Akçakaya, H.R., Corlett, R.T., Huntley, B., Bickford, D., Carr, J.A., Hoffmann, A.A., Midgley, G.F., Pearce-Kelly, P., Pearson, R.G., Williams, S.E., Willis, S.G., Young, B. & Rondini, C. (2014) Assessing species vulnerability to climate change Nature Climate Change, 5, 215-224.
Hindle, B.J., Kerr, C., Richards, S.A. & Willis, S.G. (2015) Topographical variation reduces phenological mismatch between a butterfly and its nectar source. Journal of Insect Conservation, 19, 227-236.
Stephens, P.A., Pettorelli, N., Barlow, J., Whittingham, M.J. & Cadotte, M.W. (2015) Management by proxy? The use of indices in applied ecology. Journal of Applied Ecology, 52, 1-6.
2014
Devenish-Nelson, E.S., Richards, S.A., Harris, S., Soulsbury, C.D. & Stephens, P.A. (2014) Demonstrating frequency-dependent transmission of sarcoptic mange in red foxes. Biology Letters. 10: 20140524.
Mason, T.H.E., Apollonio, M. Chirichella, R., Willis, S.G. & Stephens, P.A. (2014) Environmental change and long-term body mass declines in an alpine mammal. Frontiers in Zoology. 11: 69.
Runge, C.A., Martin, T.G., Possingham, H.P., Willis, S.G. & Fuller, R.A. (2014) Conserving mobile species. Frontiers in Ecology and
Evolution. 12: 395-402.
Nowak, K., le Roux, A., Richards, S.A., Scheijen, C., & Hill, R. (2014) Human observers impact habituated samango monkeys’ perceived landscape of fear. Behavioral Ecology. 25: 1199-1204.
Mason, T.H.E., Stephens, P.A., Apollonio, M. & Willis, S.G. (2014) Predicting potential responses to future climate change in an alpine
ungulate: interspecific interactions exceed climate effects. Global Change Biology. doi: 10.1111/gcb.12641
Howard, C., Stephens, P.A., Pearce-Higgins, J.W., Gregory, R.D. & Willis, S.G. (2014) Improving species distribution models: the value of data on abundance. Methods in Ecology and Evolution doi: 10.1111/2041-210X.12184.
Collingham, Huntley, Altwegg, Barnard, Beveridge, Gregory, Mason, Oschadleus, Simmons, Willis & Green (2014), Prediction of mean adult survival rates of southern African birds from demographic and ecological covariates. Ibis, 156: 741–754.
Stephens, P.A., Houston, A.I., Harding, K.C., Boyd, I.L. & McNamara, J.M. 2014. Capital and income breeding: the role of food supply. Ecology. 95: 882–896.
Lawson, C.R., Hodgson, G.A., Wilson, R.J. & Richards, S.A. (2014) Prevalence, thresholds, and the performance of presence-absence models. Methods in Ecology and Evolution 5: 54-64.View ORCID ProfileChristian Hof, Alke Voskamp, Matthias F. Biber, Katrin Böhning-Gaese, Eva Katharina Engelhardt, View ORCID ProfileAidin Niamir, View ORCID ProfileStephen G. Willis, and Thomas Hickler
McKaughan, J. E. T., Stephens, P. A., & Hill, R. A. (2023). Estimating mesocarnivore abundance on commercial farmland using distance sampling with camera traps. Ecological Solutions and Evidence, 4, e12229. https://doi.org/10.1002/2688-8319.12229
2022
Mason, S.S., Hill, R.A., Whittingham, M.J., Cokill, J., Smith, G.C. & Stephens, P.A. (2022) Camera trap distance sampling for terrestrial mammal population monitoring: lessons learnt from a UK case study. Remote Sensing in Ecology and Conservation, 8, 717-730.
Hsing, P.-Y., Hill, R.A., Smith, G.C., Bradley, S.P., Green, S.E., Kent, V.T., Mason, S.S., Rees, J.P., Whittingham, M.J., Cokill, J. & Stephens, P.A. (2022) Large-scale mammal monitoring: the potential of a citizen science camera-trapping project in the UK. Ecological Solutions and Evidence, 3, e12180
Green, S.E., Stephens, P.A., Whittingham, M.J & Hill, R.A. (2022) Camera trapping with photos and videos: implications for ecology and citizen science. Remote Sensing in Ecology and Conservation. https://doi.org/10.1002/rse2.309.
Voskamp, A., Hof, C., Biber, M.F., Böhning-Gaese, K., Hickler, T., Niamir, A., Willis, S.G. & Fritz, S.A. (2022) Projected climate change impacts on the phylogenetic diversity of the world's terrestrial birds: more than species numbers. Proceedings B 289, https://doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2021.2184.
Pearce-Higgins, J.W., Antão, L.H., Bates, R.E., Bowgen, K.M., Bradshaw, C.D., Duffield, S.J., Ffoulkes, C., Franco, A.M.A., Geschke, J., Gregory, R.D., Harley, M.J., Hodgson, J.A., Jenkins, R.L.M., Kapos, V., Maltby, K.M., Watts, O., Willis, S.G. & Morecroft, M.D. (2022) A framework for climate change adaptation indicators for the natural environment. Ecological Indicators 136, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2022.108690.
Gibson, M.R., Runge, C.A., Stephens, P.A., Fuller, R.A. & Willis, S.G. (2022) Where nothing stands still: quantifying nomadism in Australian arid-zone birds. Landscape Ecology 37, 191-208. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10980-021-01343-2
O’Neill, H.M., Twiss, S.D., Stephens, P.A., Mason, T.H.E., Ryrholm, N. & Burman, J. (2022) The importance of direct and indirect trophic interactions in determining the presence of a locally rare day-flying moth. Oecologia, 198, 531-542. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00442-021-05100-9.
Marion, S., Demšar, U., Davies, A.L., Stephens, P.A., Irvine, R.J. & Long J.A. (2022) Spatial and temporal variation in interspecific interaction: impact of a recreational landscape. European Journal of Wildlife Research, 68:36. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10344-022-01584-9.
Lawrence, K.B., Barlow, C.R., Bensusan, K., Perez, C. & Willis S.G. (2022) Phenological trends in the pre‐and post‐breeding migration of long‐distance migratory birds. Global Change Biology 28, 375-389. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.15916
Stewart, P.S., Voskamp, A., Santini, L., Biber, M.F., Devenish, A.J.M., Hof, C., Willis, S.G., and Tobias, J.T., (2022) Global impacts of climate change on avian functional diversity. Ecology Letters, 25, 673– 685. https://doi.org/10.1111/ele.13830
Marion, S., Demšar, U., Davies, A.L., Stephens, P.A., Irvine, R.J. & Long J.A. (2022) Red deer behavioural response to hiking activity: A study using camera traps. Journal of Zoology, 317, 249-261
2021
Stewart, P.S., Hill, R.A., Stephens, P.A., Whittingham, M.J., Dawson, W. (2021) Impacts of invasive plants on animal behaviour. Ecology Letters 24, 891-907.
Baker, E., Drury, J.P., Judge, J., Roy, D.B., Smith, G.C. and Stephens, P.A. (2021) The Verification of Ecological Citizen Science Data: Current Approaches and Future Possibilities. Citizen Science: Theory and Practice, 6, http://doi.org/10.5334/cstp.351
Titley, M.A., Butchart, S.H.M., Jones, V.R., Whittingham, M.J., Willis, S.G., (2021) Global inequities and political borders challenge nature conservation under climate change, PNAS , 118 (7) e2011204118; DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2011204118
Mason, T.H., Stephens, P.A., Gilbert, G., Green, R.E., Wilson, J.D., Jennings, K., Allen, J.R., Huntley, B., Howard, C. and Willis, S.G., (2021). Using indices of species’ potential range to inform conservation status. Ecological Indicators, 123, p.107343.
Chirichella, R., Stephens, P.A., Mason, T.H.E. & Apollonio, M. (2021) Contrasting Effects of Climate Change on Alpine chamois. Journal of Wildlife Management 85, 109-20.
Dickinson, E.R., Stephens, P.A., Marks, N.J., Wilson, R.P. & Scantlebury, D.M. (2021) Behaviour, temperature and terrain slope impact estimates of energy expenditure using oxygen and dynamic body acceleration. Animal Biotelemetry, 9, 47. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40317-021-00269-5
Pettorelli, N., Barlow, J., Nunez, M.A., Rader, R., Stephens, P.A., Pinfield, T. & Newton, E. (2021) How international journals can support ecology from the Global South. Journal of Applied Ecology 58, 4-8.
Dickinson, E.R., Twining, J.P., Wilson, R.P., Stephens, P.A., Westander, J. Marks, N.J. & Scantlebury, D.M. (2021) Limitations of using surrogates for behaviour classification of accelerometer data: refining methods using random forest models in Caprids. Movement Ecology 9, 28. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40462-021-00265-7.
Marion, S., Demšar, U., Davies, A.L., Stephens, P.A., Irvine, R.J. & Long J.A. (2021) Red deer exhibit spatial and temporal responses to hiking activity. Wildlife Biology, 2021, wlb.00853. https://doi.org/10.2981/wlb.00853.
Beatham, S.E., Goodwin, D., Coats, J., Stephens, P.A. & Massei, G. (2021) A PIT‐tag–based method for measuring individual bait uptake in small mammals. Ecological Solutions and Evidence, 2, e12081. https://doi.org/10.1002/2688-8319.12081.
2020
Apollonio, M., Merli, E., Chirichella, R., Pokorny, B., Alagic, A., Flajsman, K. & Stephens, P.A. (2020) Capital and Income Breeding in Male Ungulates: Causes and Consequences of Strategy Differences Among Species. Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution 8, 521767
Howard, C., Stephens, P.A., Pearce-Higgins, J.W., Gregory, R.D, Butchart, S.H.M., & Willis, S.G. (2020) Disentangling the relative roles of climate and land cover change in driving the long-term population trends of European migratory birds. Diversity and Distributions 00, 1-14
Jarrett, D., Calladine, J., Cotton, A., Wilson, M. and Humphreys, E. 2020. Behavioural responses of non-breeding waterbirds to drone approach are associated with flock size and habitat, Bird Study. 67(2), 190-196.
Brooker, S.A., Stephens, P.A., Whittingham, M.J. & Willis, S.G. (2020) Automated detection and classification of birdsong: an ensemble approach. Ecological Indicators 117, 106609
Ferretti, F., Lovari, S., Lucherini, M., Hayward, M.W. & Stephens, P.A. (2020) Only the largest terrestrial Carnivores increase their dietary breadth with increasing prey richness. Mammal Review 50, 291-303
Hsing, P.-Y., Coghill, L., Ryder, J., Austin, M., Dooley, S., Ellison, A., Fenwick, C., Garland, M., Humphrey, P., Proudlock, H., Robson, A., Steer, C., Turnbull, L., Kent, V.T., Bradley, S.P., Hill, R.A., Ascroft, R. & Stephens, P.A. (2020) Citizen scientists: school students conducting, contributing to and communicating ecological research - experiences of a school-university partnership. School Science Review 101, 67-74
Dickinson, E.R., Stephens, P.A., Marks, N.J., Wilson, R.P. & Scantlebury, D.M. (2020) Best practice for collar deployment of tri-axial accelerometers on a terrestrial quadruped to provide accurate measurement of body acceleration. Animal Biotelemetry 8, 9
Howard, C., Flather, C.H. & Stephens, P.A. A global assessment of the drivers of threatened terrestrial species richness. Nature Communications 11, 993 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-14771-6
Docherty, T., Hethcoat, M., MacTavish, L., MacTavish, D., Dell, S., Stephens, P.A. & Willis, S.G. (2020) Burning savanna for avian species richness and functional diversity. Ecological Applications. https://doi.org/10.1002/eap.2091
Green, S.E., Rees, J.P., Stephens, P.A., Hill, R.A. & Giordano, A.J. (2020) Innovations in Camera Trapping Technology and Approaches: Applications for Citizen Science. Animals 10, 132. https://doi.org/10.3390/ani10010132
Marion, S., Davies, A., Demsar, U., Irvine, R.J., Stephens, P.A. & Long, J. (2020) A systematic review of methods for studying the impacts of outdoor recreation on terrestrial wildlife. Global Ecology and Conservation 22, e00917. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gecco.2020.e00917
2019
Mason, L. R., Green, R. E., Howard, C., Stephens, P. A., Willis, S. G., Aunins, A., … Gregory, R. D. (2019) Population responses of bird populations to climate change on two continents vary with species’ ecological traits but not with direction of change in climate suitability. Climatic Change. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-019-02549-9
Littlewood, N. A., Mason, T. H. E., Hughes, M., Jaques, R., Whittingham, M. J., & Willis, S. G. (2019) The influence of different aspects of grouse moorland management on nontarget bird assemblages. Ecology and Evolution, 9(19), 11089–11101. https://doi.org/10.1002/ece3.5613
Bradfer-Lawrence, T., Gardner, N., Bunnefeld, L., Bunnefeld, N., Willis, S. G., & Dent, D. H. (2019) Guidelines for the use of acoustic indices in environmental research. Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 10(10), 1796–1807. https://doi.org/10.1111/2041-210X.13254
Stephens, P.A., Vieira, M.V., Willis, S.G. & Carbone, C. (2019) The limits to population density in birds and mammals. Ecology Letters doi: 10.1111/ele.13227
Nunez, M.A., Barlow, J., Cadotte, M.W., Lucas, K., Newton, E., Pettorelli, N. & Stephens, P.A. (2019) Assessing the uneven global distribution of readership, submissions and publications in applied ecology: Obvious problems without obvious solutions. Journal of Applied Ecology 56, 4-9
Howard, C., Flather, C. H., & Stephens, P. A. (2019) What drives at-risk species richness? Environmental factors are more influential than anthropogenic factors or biological traits. Conservation Letters, 12(2), e12624. https://doi.org/10.1111/conl.12624
2018
Hof, C., Voskamp, A., Biber, M. F., Böhning-Gaese, K., Engelhardt, E. K., Niamir, A., Willis, S.G., & Hickler, T. (2018). Bioenergy cropland expansion may offset positive effects of climate change mitigation for global vertebrate diversity. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 115(52), 13294 LP – 13299. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1807745115
Stephens, P.A. (2018) Ecology: Luck, Scarcity, and the Fate of Populations. Current Biology 28, R1384-1386
Burgess, M.D., Smith, K.W., Leech, D., Pearce-Higgins, J.W., Branston, C.J., Briggs, K., Clark, J.R., Evans, K.L., du Feu, C.R., Nager, R., Sheldon, B.C., Smith, J., Whytock, R.C., Willis, S.G. and Phillimore, A.B. (2018) Tritrophic phenological match-mismatch in space and time. Nature Ecology and Evolution.
Cusack, J. J., Duthie, B., Rakotonarivo, S., Pozo, R. A., Mason, T.H.E. et al. (2018) Time series analysis reveals synchrony and asynchrony between conflict management effort and increasing large grazing bird populations in northern Europe. Conservation Letters.
Howard, C., Stephens, P. A., Tobias, J. A., Sheard, C., Butchart, S. H., & Willis, S. G. (2018) Flight range, fuel load and the impact of climate change on the journeys of migrant birds. Proc. R. Soc. B 285(1873), 20172329.
Mason, T. H. E., Keane, A., Redpath, S.M., & Bunnefeld, N. (2018) The changing environment of conservation conflict: geese and farming in Scotland. Journal of Applied Ecology
Hsing, P.-Y., Bradley, S.P., Kent, V.T., Hill, R.A., Smith, G.C., Whittingham, M.J., Cokill, J., Crawley, D., MammalWeb Volunteers, Stephens, P.A. (2018) Economical crowdsourcing for camera trap image classification. Remote Sensing in Ecology and Conservation 4, 361-374 https://doi.org/10.1002/rse2.84
Ferretti, F., Lovari, S. & Stephens, P.A. (2018) Joint effects of weather and interspecific competition on foraging behaviour and survival of a mountain herbivore. Current Zoology zoy032
Pettorelli, N., Barlow, J., Stephens, P.A., Durant, S.M., Connor, B., Schulte to Buhne, H., Sandom, C.J., Wentworth, J. & du Toit, J.T. (2018) Making rewilding fit for policy. Journal of Applied Ecology 55, 1114-1125
Barlow, J., Stephens, P.A., Bode, M., Cadotte, M.W., Lucas, K., Newton, E., Nunez, M.A. & Pettorelli, N. (2018) On the extinction of the single-authored paper: The causes and consequences of increasingly collaborative applied ecological research. Journal of Applied Ecology 55, 1-4
2017
Zhao, Q.*, Mason T.H.E.*, Azeria, E.T., Le Blanc, M.L., Lemaître, J., Barnier, F., Bichet, O., & Fortin, D. (2017) Robust predictive performance of indicator species despite different co-occurrence patterns of birds in natural and managed boreal forests. Forest Ecology and Management 397, 108-116 *equal contribution
Mason, T. H. E., & Fortin, D. (2017) Functional responses in animal movement explain spatial heterogeneity in animal-habitat relationships. Journal of Animal Ecology
Mason, T. H. E., Brivio F., Stephens, P.A., Apollonio, M., & Grignolio, S. (2017) The behavioral trade-off between thermoregulation and foraging in a heat-sensitive species. Behavioral Ecology
Voskamp, A., Baker, D.J., Stephens, P.A., Valdes, P. & Willis, S.G. (2017) Global patterns in the divergence between phylogenetic diversity and species richness in terrestrial birds. Journal of Biogeography. DOI: 10.1111/jbi.12916
Cadotte, M.W., Barlow, J., Nunez, M.A., Pettorelli, & Stephens, P.A. (2017) Solving environmental problems in the Anthropocene: the need to bring novel theoretical advances into the applied ecology fold. Journal of Applied Ecology 54, 1-6.
2016
Bagchi, R., Hole, D.G., Butchart, S.H.M., Collingwood, Y.C., Fishpool, L., Plumptre, A., Owiunji, I., Mugabe, H. & Willis, S.G. (2016) Forecasting potential routes for movement of endemic birds among important sites for biodiversity in the Albertine Rift under projected climate change. Ecography
Baker, D.J., Hartley, I., Pearce-Higgins, J., Jones, R. & Willis, S.G. (2016) Neglected issues in using weather and climate information in ecology. Diversity and Distributions
Baker, D. J., Hartley, A. J., Butchart, S. H. M. & Willis, S. G. (2016) Choice of baseline climate data impacts projected species' responses to climate change. Global Change Biology 22, 2392-2404. DOI: 10.1111/gcb.13273
Sanderson, F.J., Pople, R.G., Ieronymidou, C., Burfield, I.J. Gregory, R.D., Willis, S.G., Howard, C., Stephens, P.A., Beresford, A.E. & Donald, P.F. (2016) Assessing the performance of EU nature legislation in protecting target bird species in an era of climate change. Conservation Letters 9, 172–180. DOI: 10.1111/conl.12196.
Stephens, P.A., L. R. Mason, R. E. Green, R. D. Gregory, J. R. Sauer, J. Alison, A. Aunins, L. Brotons, S. H. M. Butchart, T. Campedelli, T. Chodkiewicz, P. Chylarecki, O. Crowe, J. Elts, V. Escandell, R. P. B. Foppen, H. Heldbjerg, S. Herrando, M. Husby, F. Jiguet, A. Lehikoinen, A. Lindstrom, D. G. Noble, J.-Y. Paquet, J. Reif, T. Sattler, T. Szep, N. Teufelbauer, S. Trautmann, A. J. van Strien, C. A. M. van Turnhout, P. Vorisek, S. G. Willis. (2016) Consistent response of bird populations to climate change on two continents. Science 352 (6281), 84-87. DOI: 10.1126/science.aac4858
Davis, M.L., Stephens, P.A. & Kjellander, P. (in press) Beyond climate envelope projections: Roe deer survival and environmental change. Journal of Wildlife Management. doi: 10.1002/jwmg.1029.
Stephens, P.A. (2016) Population Viability Analysis. Oxford Bibliographies in Ecology. Ed. David Gibson. New York: Oxford University Press, 25/02/2016. doi: 10.1093/OBO/9780199830060-0142.
Barlow, J., Cadotte, M., Newton, E., Pettorelli, N., Plane, A., Stephens, P.A. & Whittingham, M.J. (2016) Achieving and communicating globally relevant applied ecological research. Journal of Applied Ecology 53, 1-4.
2015
Stephens, P.A. (2015) Land sparing, land sharing, and the fate of Africa’s lions. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the USA. 112, 14753–14754.
Palmer, G., Stephens, P.A., Ward, A.I. & Willis, S.G. (2015) Nationwide trophic cascades: changes in avian community structure driven by ungulates. Nature: Scientific Reports, 5:15602, doi: 10.1038/srep15601.
Howard, C., Stephens, P.A., Pearce-Higgins, J., Gregory, R.A. & Willis, S.G. (2015) The drivers of avian abundance: patterns in the relative importance of climate and land use. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 24, 1249-1260.
Baker, D. Burgess, N.D. Butchart, S.H.M., Carr, J., Hartley, A., Smith, R., Belle, E. & Willis, S.G. (2015) Assessing climate change impacts for vertebrate fauna across the West Africa protected area network using regionally appropriate climate projections. Diversity and Distributions, 21, 991-1003. DOI: 10.1111/ddi.12337.
Willis, S.G., Foden, W.B., Baker, D. Belle, E. Burgess, N.D., Carr, J., Doswald, N., Garcia, R., Hartley, A., Hof, C., Newbold, T., Rahbek, C., Smith, R., Visconti, P., Young, B. & Butchart, S.H.M. (2015) Integrating climate change vulnerability assessments from species distribution modelling and traits based approaches. Biological Conservation, 190, 167–178. DOI:10.1016/j.biocon.2015.05.001.
Bassi, E. Willis, S.G., Passilongo, D., Mattioli, L. & Apollonio, M. (2015) Predicting the spatial distribution of wolf (Canis lupus) breeding areas in a mountainous region of central Italy. PLoS One, 10(6): e0124698. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0124698.
Pacifici, M., Foden, W.B., Visconti, P., Watson, J.E.M., Butchart, S.H.M., Kovacs, K.M., Scheffers, B.R., Hole, D.G. Martin, T.G., Akçakaya, H.R., Corlett, R.T., Huntley, B., Bickford, D., Carr, J.A., Hoffmann, A.A., Midgley, G.F., Pearce-Kelly, P., Pearson, R.G., Williams, S.E., Willis, S.G., Young, B. & Rondini, C. (2014) Assessing species vulnerability to climate change Nature Climate Change, 5, 215-224.
Hindle, B.J., Kerr, C., Richards, S.A. & Willis, S.G. (2015) Topographical variation reduces phenological mismatch between a butterfly and its nectar source. Journal of Insect Conservation, 19, 227-236.
Stephens, P.A., Pettorelli, N., Barlow, J., Whittingham, M.J. & Cadotte, M.W. (2015) Management by proxy? The use of indices in applied ecology. Journal of Applied Ecology, 52, 1-6.
2014
Devenish-Nelson, E.S., Richards, S.A., Harris, S., Soulsbury, C.D. & Stephens, P.A. (2014) Demonstrating frequency-dependent transmission of sarcoptic mange in red foxes. Biology Letters. 10: 20140524.
Mason, T.H.E., Apollonio, M. Chirichella, R., Willis, S.G. & Stephens, P.A. (2014) Environmental change and long-term body mass declines in an alpine mammal. Frontiers in Zoology. 11: 69.
Runge, C.A., Martin, T.G., Possingham, H.P., Willis, S.G. & Fuller, R.A. (2014) Conserving mobile species. Frontiers in Ecology and
Evolution. 12: 395-402.
Nowak, K., le Roux, A., Richards, S.A., Scheijen, C., & Hill, R. (2014) Human observers impact habituated samango monkeys’ perceived landscape of fear. Behavioral Ecology. 25: 1199-1204.
Mason, T.H.E., Stephens, P.A., Apollonio, M. & Willis, S.G. (2014) Predicting potential responses to future climate change in an alpine
ungulate: interspecific interactions exceed climate effects. Global Change Biology. doi: 10.1111/gcb.12641
Howard, C., Stephens, P.A., Pearce-Higgins, J.W., Gregory, R.D. & Willis, S.G. (2014) Improving species distribution models: the value of data on abundance. Methods in Ecology and Evolution doi: 10.1111/2041-210X.12184.
Collingham, Huntley, Altwegg, Barnard, Beveridge, Gregory, Mason, Oschadleus, Simmons, Willis & Green (2014), Prediction of mean adult survival rates of southern African birds from demographic and ecological covariates. Ibis, 156: 741–754.
Stephens, P.A., Houston, A.I., Harding, K.C., Boyd, I.L. & McNamara, J.M. 2014. Capital and income breeding: the role of food supply. Ecology. 95: 882–896.
Lawson, C.R., Hodgson, G.A., Wilson, R.J. & Richards, S.A. (2014) Prevalence, thresholds, and the performance of presence-absence models. Methods in Ecology and Evolution 5: 54-64.View ORCID ProfileChristian Hof, Alke Voskamp, Matthias F. Biber, Katrin Böhning-Gaese, Eva Katharina Engelhardt, View ORCID ProfileAidin Niamir, View ORCID ProfileStephen G. Willis, and Thomas Hickler
