Publications by Group Members
2025
Border, J.A., Pearce-Higgins, J.W., Hewson, C.M., Howard, C., Stephens, P. A.,, Willis, S.G., Fuller, R.A., Hanson, J.O., Sierdsema, H., Foppen, R.P.B., Brotons, L., Gargallo, G., Fink, D., Baillie, S.R. (2025) Expanding protected area coverage for migratory birds could improve long-term population trends. Nature Communications. 16(1):1813. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-57019-x.
Davis, S., Grainger, M., Pfeifer, M., Pattison, Z., Stephens, P. A., Sanderson, R. (2025) Restoring riparian habitats for benefits to biodiversity and human livelihoods: a systematic map protocol for riparian restoration approaches in the tropics. Environmental Evidence. 14(1):2. https://doi.org/10.1186/s13750-025-00355-8.
De Frenne, P., ... Senior, R.A., ... (2025) Ten practical guidelines for microclimate research in terrestrial ecosystems. Methods in Ecology and Evolution. 16(2). https://doi.org/10.1111/2041-210X.14476.
Jarrett, D., Barnett, R., Bradfer-Lawrence, T., Froidevaus, J.S.P., ... Willis, S.G., ... (2025) Mitigating bias in long‐term terrestrial ecoacoustic studies. Journal of Applied Ecology. https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2664.70000.
Oswald, A.M., Mannion, N., Willis, S.G., Stephens, P. A., McGowan, P.M. (2025) What is favourable conservation status?: A systematic map protocol. Environmental Evidence. 14,3. https://doi.org/10.1186/s13750-025-00356-7.
Simkins, T., Sutherland, W.J., Dicks, L.V., Hilton-Taylor, C., Grace, M.K., Butchart, S.H.M., Senior, R.A., Petrovan, S.O. (2025) Past conservation efforts reveal which actions lead to positive outcomes for species. PLoS biology. 23(3).
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pbio.3003051.
2024
Beatham, S.E., Stephens, P.A., Goodwin, D., Coats, J., Thomas, E., Rochester, I. and Massei, G. (2024) An assessment of seasonal bait uptake by individual grey squirrels to develop a delivery system for oral contraceptives. Pest Management Science, 80: 5597-5607. https://doi.org/10.1002/ps.8379.
Border, J. A., Boersch-Supan, P. H., Pearce-Higgins, J. W., Hewson, C. M., Howard, C., Stephens, P.A., Willis, S.G., Houston, A. I., Gargallo, G., & Baillie, S. R. (2024) Spatial variation in spring arrival patterns of Afro-Palaearctic bird migration across Europe. Global Ecology and Biogeography. 33, e13850. https://doi.org/10.1111/geb.13850.
Branston, C.J., Whittingham, M.J., Phillimore, A.B., Leech, D., Willis, S.G. (2024). Ibis. 166(2). https://doi.org/10.1111/ibi.13248.
Burton, A.C., Beirne, C., Gaynor, K.M. … Stephens, P.A., … et al. (2024) Mammal responses to global changes in human activity vary by trophic group and landscape. Nature Ecology & Evolution. 8, 924–935. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41559-024-02363-2.
Dickinson, E.R., McFarland, C., Toïgo, C., Scantlebury, M.D., Stephens, P.A., Marks, N.J. & Morgan E.R. (2024) Host movement dominates the predicted effects of climate change on parasite transmission between wild and domestic mountain ungulates. Royal Science Open Science. 11(1). http://doi.org/10.1098/rsos.230469.
Dobson, R., Willis, S.G., Jennings, S., Cheke, R.A., Challinor, A.J., Dallimer, M. (2024) Near‐Term Forecasting of Terrestrial Mobile Species Distributions for Adaptive Management Under Extreme Weather Events. Global Change Biology. 30(11). https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.17579.
Evans, B.C., Rowcliffe, M., Carbone, C., Cartledge, E.L., Al-Fulaij, N., Pringle, H., Yarnell, R., Stephens, P.A., Hill, R.A., Scott-Gatty, K. Hartland, C. & Horwood, B. (2024) Lens on the wild: innovations in wildlife monitoring with machine learning. environmental SCIENTIST. https://www.the-ies.org/analysis/lens-wild-innovations-wildlife-0.
Ferretti, F., Lovari, S., Lucherini, M., Hayward, M.W. & Stephens, P.A. (2024) Continent-wide differences in diet breadth of large terrestrial carnivores: the effect of large prey and competitors. Mammal Review. 54(3). https://doi.org/10.1111/mam.12343.
Gillie, E. R., Bryndum-Buchholz, A., Willis, S.G., Eddy, T.D. (2024) Exploring novel North Water Polynya ecosystems under climate change. PLOS Climate. 3(10). https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pclm.0000490.
Heger, T., Elliot-Graves, A., Kaiser, M.I., Morrow, K.H., Bausman, W., Dietl, G.P., Dormann, C.F., Gibson, D.J., Griesemer, J., Itescu, Y., Jax, K., Latimer, A.M., Liu, C., Starrfelt, J., Stephens, P.A. and Jeschke, J.M. (2025), Looking beyond Popper: how philosophy can be relevant to ecology. Oikos, 2025: e10994. https://doi.org/10.1111/oik.10994.
Howard, C., Mason, T.H.E., Baillie, S.R., Border, J., Hewson, C.M., Houston, A.I., Pearce-Higgins, J.W., Bauer, S., Willis, S.G., Stephens, P.A. (2024). Explaining and predicting animal migration under global change. Diversity and Distributions. 30(2). https://doi.org/10.1111/ddi.13797.
Jarrett, D. and Willis, S.G. (2024) Acoustic detection rate can outperform traditional survey approaches in estimating relative densities of breeding waders. Ibis. https://doi.org/10.1111/ibi.13375.
Jarrett, D., Lehikoinen, A., Willis, S.G. (2024) Monitoring wader breeding productivity. Ibis. 166(3) https://doi.org/10.1111/ibi.13298.
Kemppinen, J., ... Senior, R.A. ... (2024) Microclimate, an important part of ecology and biogeography. Global Ecology and Biogeography. 33(6).
https://doi.org/10.1111/geb.13834.
Senior, R.A., Bagwyn, R., Leng, D., Killion, A.K., Jetz, W., Wilcove, D.S. (2024) Global shortfalls in documented actions to conserve biodiversity. Nature 630, pages 387–391. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-024-07498-7.
Ternyik, B., McKaughan, J.E.T., Hill, R.A., & Stephens, P.A. (2024) Efficient data collection for camera trap-based density estimation: A preliminary assessment. Ecological Solutions and Evidence, 5, e12300. https://doi.org/10.1002/2688-8319.12300.
2023
Beatham, S.E., Stephens, P.A., Coats, J.Phillips, J. & Massei, G. (2023) A camera trap method for estimating target densities of grey squirrels to inform wildlife management applications. Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution, 11, 1096321. DOI: 10.3389/fevo.2023.1096321.
Beatham S.E., Coats J., Stephens, P.A., & Massei, G. (2023) Factors affecting bait uptake by the grey squirrel (Sciurus carolinensis) and the future delivery of oral contraceptives. Wildlife Research. 51(1). DOI: 10.1071/WR22159.
Chalmers, C., Fergus, P., Wich, S., Longmore, S.N., Davies Walsh, N., Stephens, P.A., Sutherland, C., Matthews, N., Mudde, J. & Nuseibeh, A. (2023) Removing Human Bottlenecks in Bird Classification Using Camera Trap Images and Deep Learning. Remote Sensing, 15, 2638, DOI: 10.3390/rs15102638.
Dobson, R., Challinor, A.J., Cheke, R.A., Jennings, S., Willis, S.G., Dallimer, M. (2023) DynamicSDM: An R package for species geographical distribution and abundance modelling at high spatiotemporal resolution. Methods in Ecology and Evolution. 14(5). https://doi.org/10.1111/2041-210X.14101.
Edney, G., Smart, T., Howat, F., Batchelor, Z., Hughes, C., Moss, A. (2023) Assessing the effect of interpretation design traits on zoo visitor engagement. Zoo Biology. 42(4).https://doi.org/10.1002/zoo.21759.
ENETWILD-consortium, Casaer, J., Jansen, P., Roy, D., Stephens, P.A., Blanco-Aguiar, J.A., Liefting, Y., Vicente, J. & Smith, G.C. (2023). Improvement of information technology tools to collect, process and analyse data on wildlife population (2023). European Food Safety Authority. 20(8):EN-8217. 22 pp. doi:10.2903/sp.efsa.2023.EN-8217.
Fuentes-Allende, N., Stephens, P.A., MacTavish, L.M., MacTavish, D. and Willis, S.G., (2023), Remote monitoring of short-term body mass variation in savanna ungulates. Remote Sensing in Ecology and Conservation. 9(5). DOI: 10.1002/rse2.338.
Green, S.E., Stephens, P.A., Whittingham, M.J & Hill, R.A. (2023) Camera trapping with photos and videos: implications for ecology and citizen science. Remote Sensing in Ecology and Conservation. https://doi.org/10.1002/rse2.309.
Gregory, R.D., Eaton, M.A., Burfield, I., Grice, P.V., Howard, C., Klvanova, A., Stephens, P.A., Willis, S.G., Woodward, I.D. & Burns, F. (2023) Drivers of the changing abundance of European birds at two spatial scales. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 378, 20220198. DOI: 10.1098/rstb.2022.0198
Howard, C. et al, Willis, S.G. (2023). Local colonisations and extinctions of European birds are poorly explained by changes in climate suitability. Nature Communications. 14(1). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-39093-1.
McKaughan, J. E. T., Stephens, P. A., & Hill, R. A. (2023). Estimating mesocarnivore abundance on commercial farmland using distance sampling with camera traps. Ecological Solutions and Evidence, 4, e12229. https://doi.org/10.1002/2688-8319.12229.
Marjakangas, E.L., Bosco, L., Verslujis, M., ... Willis, S.G., ... (2023) Ecological barriers mediate spatiotemporal shifts of bird communities at a continental scale. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 120(23). https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2213330120.
Nesbit, D.A, Cowen, M.C., Grether, G.F, Drury, J.P. (2023) Interspecific territoriality has facilitated recent increases in the breeding habitat overlap of North American passerines. Ecography e06573. https://doi.org/10.1111/ecog.06573.
Smith, G.C., Roy, D.R., Stephens, P.A., Casaer, J., Jansen, P.A. & Blanco-Aguiar, J.A. (2023) MAMMALNET – Citizen Science Data Collection from a One Health Perspective. CABI One Health Cases. DOI: 10.1079/onehealthcases.2023.0021.
Stewart, P.S., Stephens, P.A., Hill, R.A., Whittingham, M.J. & Dawson, W. (2023) Model selection in occupancy models: Inference versus prediction. Ecology, 104, e3942.https://doi.org/10.1002/ecy.3942.
Vada, R., Illanas, S., Acevedo, P., ... Stephens, P.A., ... (2023) Feral American mink (Neogale vison) continues to expand its European range: time to harmonize population monitoring and coordinate control. Mammal Review. DOI: 10.1111/mam.12315.
Zenni, R.D., Barlow, J., Pettorelli, N., Stephens, P.A., Rader, R., Siqueira, T., Gordon, R., Pinfield, T. and Nuñez, M.A. (2023), Multi-lingual literature searches are needed to unveil global knowledge. Journal of Applied Ecology, 60, 380-383.
https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2664.14370.
2022
Gibson, M.R., Runge, C.A., Stephens, P.A., Fuller, R.A. & Willis, S.G. (2022) Where nothing stands still: quantifying nomadism in Australian arid-zone birds. Landscape Ecology 37, 191-208. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10980-021-01343-2
Hsing, P.-Y., Hill, R.A., Smith, G.C., Bradley, S.P., Green, S.E., Kent, V.T., Mason, S.S., Rees, J.P., Whittingham, M.J., Cokill, J. & Stephens, P.A. (2022) Large-scale mammal monitoring: the potential of a citizen science camera-trapping project in the UK. Ecological Solutions and Evidence, 3, e12180
Lawrence, K.B., Barlow, C.R., Bensusan, K., Perez, C. & Willis S.G. (2022) Phenological trends in the pre‐and post‐breeding migration of long‐distance migratory birds. Global Change Biology 28, 375-389. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.15916
Marion, S., Demšar, U., Davies, A.L., Stephens, P.A., Irvine, R.J. & Long J.A. (2022) Red deer behavioural response to hiking activity: A study using camera traps. Journal of Zoology, 317, 249-261
Marion, S., Demšar, U., Davies, A.L., Stephens, P.A., Irvine, R.J. & Long J.A. (2022) Spatial and temporal variation in interspecific interaction: impact of a recreational landscape. European Journal of Wildlife Research, 68:36. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10344-022-01584-9.
Mason, S.S., Hill, R.A., Whittingham, M.J., Cokill, J., Smith, G.C. & Stephens, P.A. (2022) Camera trap distance sampling for terrestrial mammal population monitoring: lessons learnt from a UK case study. Remote Sensing in Ecology and Conservation, 8, 717-730.
O’Neill, H.M., Twiss, S.D., Stephens, P.A., Mason, T.H.E., Ryrholm, N. & Burman, J. (2022) The importance of direct and indirect trophic interactions in determining the presence of a locally rare day-flying moth. Oecologia, 198, 531-542. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00442-021-05100-9.
Pearce-Higgins, J.W., Antão, L.H., Bates, R.E., Bowgen, K.M., Bradshaw, C.D., Duffield, S.J., Ffoulkes, C., Franco, A.M.A., Geschke, J., Gregory, R.D., Harley, M.J., Hodgson, J.A., Jenkins, R.L.M., Kapos, V., Maltby, K.M., Watts, O., Willis, S.G. & Morecroft, M.D. (2022) A framework for climate change adaptation indicators for the natural environment. Ecological Indicators 136, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2022.108690.
Stewart, P.S., Voskamp, A., Santini, L., Biber, M.F., Devenish, A.J.M., Hof, C., Willis, S.G., and Tobias, J.T., (2022) Global impacts of climate change on avian functional diversity. Ecology Letters, 25, 673– 685. https://doi.org/10.1111/ele.13830
Voskamp, A., Hof, C., Biber, M.F., Böhning-Gaese, K., Hickler, T., Niamir, A., Willis, S.G. & Fritz, S.A. (2022) Projected climate change impacts on the phylogenetic diversity of the world's terrestrial birds: more than species numbers. Proceedings B 289, https://doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2021.2184.
2021
Baker, E., Drury, J.P., Judge, J., Roy, D.B., Smith, G.C. and Stephens, P.A. (2021) The Verification of Ecological Citizen Science Data: Current Approaches and Future Possibilities. Citizen Science: Theory and Practice, 6, http://doi.org/10.5334/cstp.351
Beatham, S.E., Goodwin, D., Coats, J., Stephens, P.A. & Massei, G. (2021) A PIT‐tag–based method for measuring individual bait uptake in small mammals. Ecological Solutions and Evidence, 2, e12081. https://doi.org/10.1002/2688-8319.12081.
Chirichella, R., Stephens, P.A., Mason, T.H.E. & Apollonio, M. (2021) Contrasting Effects of Climate Change on Alpine chamois. Journal of Wildlife Management 85, 109-20.
Dickinson, E.R., Stephens, P.A., Marks, N.J., Wilson, R.P. & Scantlebury, D.M. (2021) Behaviour, temperature and terrain slope impact estimates of energy expenditure using oxygen and dynamic body acceleration. Animal Biotelemetry, 9, 47. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40317-021-00269-5
Dickinson, E.R., Twining, J.P., Wilson, R.P., Stephens, P.A., Westander, J. Marks, N.J. & Scantlebury, D.M. (2021) Limitations of using surrogates for behaviour classification of accelerometer data: refining methods using random forest models in Caprids. Movement Ecology 9, 28. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40462-021-00265-7.
Marion, S., Demšar, U., Davies, A.L., Stephens, P.A., Irvine, R.J. & Long J.A. (2021) Red deer exhibit spatial and temporal responses to hiking activity. Wildlife Biology, 2021, wlb.00853. https://doi.org/10.2981/wlb.00853.
Mason, T.H., Stephens, P.A., Gilbert, G., Green, R.E., Wilson, J.D., Jennings, K., Allen, J.R., Huntley, B., Howard, C. and Willis, S.G., (2021). Using indices of species’ potential range to inform conservation status. Ecological Indicators, 123, p.107343.
Pettorelli, N., Barlow, J., Nunez, M.A., Rader, R., Stephens, P.A., Pinfield, T. & Newton, E. (2021) How international journals can support ecology from the Global South. Journal of Applied Ecology 58, 4-8.
Stewart, P.S., Hill, R.A., Stephens, P.A., Whittingham, M.J., Dawson, W. (2021) Impacts of invasive plants on animal behaviour. Ecology Letters 24, 891-907.
Titley, M.A., Butchart, S.H.M., Jones, V.R., Whittingham, M.J., Willis, S.G., (2021) Global inequities and political borders challenge nature conservation under climate change, PNAS , 118 (7) e2011204118; DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2011204118
2020
Apollonio, M., Merli, E., Chirichella, R., Pokorny, B., Alagic, A., Flajsman, K. & Stephens, P.A. (2020) Capital and Income Breeding in Male Ungulates: Causes and Consequences of Strategy Differences Among Species. Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution 8, 521767
Brooker, S.A., Stephens, P.A., Whittingham, M.J. & Willis, S.G. (2020) Automated detection and classification of birdsong: an ensemble approach. Ecological Indicators 117, 106609
Docherty, T., Hethcoat, M., MacTavish, L., MacTavish, D., Dell, S., Stephens, P.A. & Willis, S.G. (2020) Burning savanna for avian species richness and functional diversity. Ecological Applications. https://doi.org/10.1002/eap.2091
Dickinson, E.R., Stephens, P.A., Marks, N.J., Wilson, R.P. & Scantlebury, D.M. (2020) Best practice for collar deployment of tri-axial accelerometers on a terrestrial quadruped to provide accurate measurement of body acceleration. Animal Biotelemetry 8, 9
Green, S.E., Rees, J.P., Stephens, P.A., Hill, R.A. & Giordano, A.J. (2020) Innovations in Camera Trapping Technology and Approaches: Applications for Citizen Science. Animals 10, 132. https://doi.org/10.3390/ani10010132
Howard, C., Stephens, P.A., Pearce-Higgins, J.W., Gregory, R.D, Butchart, S.H.M., & Willis, S.G. (2020) Disentangling the relative roles of climate and land cover change in driving the long-term population trends of European migratory birds. Diversity and Distributions 00, 1-14
Howard, C., Flather, C.H. & Stephens, P.A. A global assessment of the drivers of threatened terrestrial species richness. Nature Communications 11, 993 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-14771-6
Hsing, P.-Y., Coghill, L., Ryder, J., Austin, M., Dooley, S., Ellison, A., Fenwick, C., Garland, M., Humphrey, P., Proudlock, H., Robson, A., Steer, C., Turnbull, L., Kent, V.T., Bradley, S.P., Hill, R.A., Ascroft, R. & Stephens, P.A. (2020) Citizen scientists: school students conducting, contributing to and communicating ecological research - experiences of a school-university partnership. School Science Review 101, 67-74
Ferretti, F., Lovari, S., Lucherini, M., Hayward, M.W. & Stephens, P.A. (2020) Only the largest terrestrial Carnivores increase their dietary breadth with increasing prey richness. Mammal Review 50, 291-303
Jarrett, D., Calladine, J., Cotton, A., Wilson, M. and Humphreys, E. 2020. Behavioural responses of non-breeding waterbirds to drone approach are associated with flock size and habitat, Bird Study. 67(2), 190-196.
Marion, S., Davies, A., Demsar, U., Irvine, R.J., Stephens, P.A. & Long, J. (2020) A systematic review of methods for studying the impacts of outdoor recreation on terrestrial wildlife. Global Ecology and Conservation 22, e00917. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gecco.2020.e00917
2019
Bradfer-Lawrence, T., Gardner, N., Bunnefeld, L., Bunnefeld, N., Willis, S. G., & Dent, D. H. (2019) Guidelines for the use of acoustic indices in environmental research. Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 10(10), 1796–1807. https://doi.org/10.1111/2041-210X.13254
Howard, C., Flather, C. H., & Stephens, P. A. (2019) What drives at-risk species richness? Environmental factors are more influential than anthropogenic factors or biological traits. Conservation Letters, 12(2), e12624. https://doi.org/10.1111/conl.12624
Littlewood, N. A., Mason, T. H. E., Hughes, M., Jaques, R., Whittingham, M. J., & Willis, S. G. (2019) The influence of different aspects of grouse moorland management on nontarget bird assemblages. Ecology and Evolution, 9(19), 11089–11101. https://doi.org/10.1002/ece3.5613
Mason, L. R., Green, R. E., Howard, C., Stephens, P. A., Willis, S. G., Aunins, A., … Gregory, R. D. (2019) Population responses of bird populations to climate change on two continents vary with species’ ecological traits but not with direction of change in climate suitability. Climatic Change. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-019-02549-9
Nunez, M.A., Barlow, J., Cadotte, M.W., Lucas, K., Newton, E., Pettorelli, N. & Stephens, P.A. (2019) Assessing the uneven global distribution of readership, submissions and publications in applied ecology: Obvious problems without obvious solutions. Journal of Applied Ecology 56, 4-9
Pettorelli, N., Barlow, J., Cadotte, M.W., Lucas, K., Newton, E., Nuñez, M.A. and Stephens, P.A. (2019), Applied ecologists in a landscape of fear. J Appl Ecol, 56: 1034-1039. https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2664.13382
Stephens, P.A., Vieira, M.V., Willis, S.G. & Carbone, C. (2019) The limits to population density in birds and mammals. Ecology Letters doi: 10.1111/ele.13227
2018
Barlow, J., Stephens, P.A., Bode, M., Cadotte, M.W., Lucas, K., Newton, E., Nunez, M.A. & Pettorelli, N. (2018) On the extinction of the single-authored paper: The causes and consequences of increasingly collaborative applied ecological research. Journal of Applied Ecology 55, 1-4
Burgess, M.D., Smith, K.W., Leech, D., Pearce-Higgins, J.W., Branston, C.J., Briggs, K., Clark, J.R., Evans, K.L., du Feu, C.R., Nager, R., Sheldon, B.C., Smith, J., Whytock, R.C., Willis, S.G. and Phillimore, A.B. (2018) Tritrophic phenological match-mismatch in space and time. Nature Ecology and Evolution.
Cusack, J. J., Duthie, B., Rakotonarivo, S., Pozo, R. A., Mason, T.H.E. et al. (2018) Time series analysis reveals synchrony and asynchrony between conflict management effort and increasing large grazing bird populations in northern Europe. Conservation Letters.
Ferretti, F., Lovari, S. & Stephens, P.A. (2018) Joint effects of weather and interspecific competition on foraging behaviour and survival of a mountain herbivore. Current Zoology zoy032.
Hof, C., Voskamp, A., Biber, M. F., Böhning-Gaese, K., Engelhardt, E. K., Niamir, A., Willis, S.G., & Hickler, T. (2018). Bioenergy cropland expansion may offset positive effects of climate change mitigation for global vertebrate diversity. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 115(52), 13294 LP – 13299. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1807745115.
Hsing, P.-Y., Bradley, S.P., Kent, V.T., Hill, R.A., Smith, G.C., Whittingham, M.J., Cokill, J., Crawley, D., MammalWeb Volunteers, Stephens, P.A. (2018) Economical crowdsourcing for camera trap image classification. Remote Sensing in Ecology and Conservation 4, 361-374 https://doi.org/10.1002/rse2.84.
Howard, C., Stephens, P. A., Tobias, J. A., Sheard, C., Butchart, S. H., & Willis, S. G. (2018) Flight range, fuel load and the impact of climate change on the journeys of migrant birds. Proc. R. Soc. B 285(1873), 20172329.
Mason, T. H. E., Keane, A., Redpath, S.M., & Bunnefeld, N. (2018) The changing environment of conservation conflict: geese and farming in Scotland. Journal of Applied Ecology.
Pettorelli, N., Barlow, J., Stephens, P.A., Durant, S.M., Connor, B., Schulte to Buhne, H., Sandom, C.J., Wentworth, J. & du Toit, J.T. (2018) Making rewilding fit for policy. Journal of Applied Ecology 55, 1114-1125
Stephens, P.A. (2018) Ecology: Luck, Scarcity, and the Fate of Populations. Current Biology 28, R1384-1386
2017
Cadotte, M.W., Barlow, J., Nunez, M.A., Pettorelli, & Stephens, P.A. (2017) Solving environmental problems in the Anthropocene: the need to bring novel theoretical advances into the applied ecology fold. Journal of Applied Ecology 54, 1-6.
Mason, T. H. E., & Fortin, D. (2017) Functional responses in animal movement explain spatial heterogeneity in animal-habitat relationships. Journal of Animal Ecology
Mason, T. H. E., Brivio F., Stephens, P.A., Apollonio, M., & Grignolio, S. (2017) The behavioral trade-off between thermoregulation and foraging in a heat-sensitive species. Behavioral Ecology
Voskamp, A., Baker, D.J., Stephens, P.A., Valdes, P. & Willis, S.G. (2017) Global patterns in the divergence between phylogenetic diversity and species richness in terrestrial birds. Journal of Biogeography. DOI: 10.1111/jbi.12916
Zhao, Q.*, Mason T.H.E.*, Azeria, E.T., Le Blanc, M.L., Lemaître, J., Barnier, F., Bichet, O., & Fortin, D. (2017) Robust predictive performance of indicator species despite different co-occurrence patterns of birds in natural and managed boreal forests. Forest Ecology and Management 397, 108-116 *equal contribution
2016
Bagchi, R., Hole, D.G., Butchart, S.H.M., Collingwood, Y.C., Fishpool, L., Plumptre, A., Owiunji, I., Mugabe, H. & Willis, S.G. (2016) Forecasting potential routes for movement of endemic birds among important sites for biodiversity in the Albertine Rift under projected climate change. Ecography
Baker, D.J., Hartley, I., Pearce-Higgins, J., Jones, R. & Willis, S.G. (2016) Neglected issues in using weather and climate information in ecology. Diversity and Distributions
Baker, D. J., Hartley, A. J., Butchart, S. H. M. & Willis, S. G. (2016) Choice of baseline climate data impacts projected species' responses to climate change. Global Change Biology 22, 2392-2404. DOI: 10.1111/gcb.13273
Barlow, J., Cadotte, M., Newton, E., Pettorelli, N., Plane, A., Stephens, P.A. & Whittingham, M.J. (2016) Achieving and communicating globally relevant applied ecological research. Journal of Applied Ecology 53, 1-4.
Davis, M.L., Stephens, P.A. & Kjellander, P. (in press) Beyond climate envelope projections: Roe deer survival and environmental change. Journal of Wildlife Management. doi: 10.1002/jwmg.1029.
Sanderson, F.J., Pople, R.G., Ieronymidou, C., Burfield, I.J. Gregory, R.D., Willis, S.G., Howard, C., Stephens, P.A., Beresford, A.E. & Donald, P.F. (2016) Assessing the performance of EU nature legislation in protecting target bird species in an era of climate change. Conservation Letters 9, 172–180. DOI: 10.1111/conl.12196.
Stephens, P.A., L. R. Mason, R. E. Green, R. D. Gregory, J. R. Sauer, J. Alison, A. Aunins, L. Brotons, S. H. M. Butchart, T. Campedelli, T. Chodkiewicz, P. Chylarecki, O. Crowe, J. Elts, V. Escandell, R. P. B. Foppen, H. Heldbjerg, S. Herrando, M. Husby, F. Jiguet, A. Lehikoinen, A. Lindstrom, D. G. Noble, J.-Y. Paquet, J. Reif, T. Sattler, T. Szep, N. Teufelbauer, S. Trautmann, A. J. van Strien, C. A. M. van Turnhout, P. Vorisek, S. G. Willis. (2016) Consistent response of bird populations to climate change on two continents. Science 352 (6281), 84-87. DOI: 10.1126/science.aac4858
Stephens, P.A. (2016) Population Viability Analysis. Oxford Bibliographies in Ecology. Ed. David Gibson. New York: Oxford University Press, 25/02/2016. doi: 10.1093/OBO/9780199830060-0142.
2015
Baker, D. Burgess, N.D. Butchart, S.H.M., Carr, J., Hartley, A., Smith, R., Belle, E. & Willis, S.G. (2015) Assessing climate change impacts for vertebrate fauna across the West Africa protected area network using regionally appropriate climate projections. Diversity and Distributions, 21, 991-1003. DOI: 10.1111/ddi.12337.
Bassi, E. Willis, S.G., Passilongo, D., Mattioli, L. & Apollonio, M. (2015) Predicting the spatial distribution of wolf (Canis lupus) breeding areas in a mountainous region of central Italy. PLoS One, 10(6): e0124698. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0124698.
Hindle, B.J., Kerr, C., Richards, S.A. & Willis, S.G. (2015) Topographical variation reduces phenological mismatch between a butterfly and its nectar source. Journal of Insect Conservation, 19, 227-236.
Howard, C., Stephens, P.A., Pearce-Higgins, J., Gregory, R.A. & Willis, S.G. (2015) The drivers of avian abundance: patterns in the relative importance of climate and land use. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 24, 1249-1260.
Palmer, G., Stephens, P.A., Ward, A.I. & Willis, S.G. (2015) Nationwide trophic cascades: changes in avian community structure driven by ungulates. Nature: Scientific Reports, 5:15602, doi: 10.1038/srep15601.
Pacifici, M., Foden, W.B., Visconti, P., Watson, J.E.M., Butchart, S.H.M., Kovacs, K.M., Scheffers, B.R., Hole, D.G. Martin, T.G., Akçakaya, H.R., Corlett, R.T., Huntley, B., Bickford, D., Carr, J.A., Hoffmann, A.A., Midgley, G.F., Pearce-Kelly, P., Pearson, R.G., Williams, S.E., Willis, S.G., Young, B. & Rondini, C. (2014) Assessing species vulnerability to climate change Nature Climate Change, 5, 215-224.
Stephens, P.A., Pettorelli, N., Barlow, J., Whittingham, M.J. & Cadotte, M.W. (2015) Management by proxy? The use of indices in applied ecology. Journal of Applied Ecology, 52, 1-6.
Stephens, P.A. (2015) Land sparing, land sharing, and the fate of Africa’s lions. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the USA. 112, 14753–14754.
Willis, S.G., Foden, W.B., Baker, D. Belle, E. Burgess, N.D., Carr, J., Doswald, N., Garcia, R., Hartley, A., Hof, C., Newbold, T., Rahbek, C., Smith, R., Visconti, P., Young, B. & Butchart, S.H.M. (2015) Integrating climate change vulnerability assessments from species distribution modelling and traits based approaches. Biological Conservation, 190, 167–178. DOI:10.1016/j.biocon.2015.05.001.
2014
Collingham, Huntley, Altwegg, Barnard, Beveridge, Gregory, Mason, Oschadleus, Simmons, Willis & Green (2014), Prediction of mean adult survival rates of southern African birds from demographic and ecological covariates. Ibis, 156: 741–754.
Devenish-Nelson, E.S., Richards, S.A., Harris, S., Soulsbury, C.D. & Stephens, P.A. (2014) Demonstrating frequency-dependent transmission of sarcoptic mange in red foxes. Biology Letters. 10: 20140524.
Howard, C., Stephens, P.A., Pearce-Higgins, J.W., Gregory, R.D. & Willis, S.G. (2014) Improving species distribution models: the value of data on abundance. Methods in Ecology and Evolution doi: 10.1111/2041-210X.12184.
Lawson, C.R., Hodgson, G.A., Wilson, R.J. & Richards, S.A. (2014) Prevalence, thresholds, and the performance of presence-absence models. Methods in Ecology and Evolution 5: 54-64.View ORCID ProfileChristian Hof, Alke Voskamp, Matthias F. Biber, Katrin Böhning-Gaese, Eva Katharina Engelhardt, View ORCID ProfileAidin Niamir, View ORCID ProfileStephen G. Willis, and Thomas Hickler
Mason, T.H.E., Apollonio, M. Chirichella, R., Willis, S.G. & Stephens, P.A. (2014) Environmental change and long-term body mass declines in an alpine mammal. Frontiers in Zoology. 11: 69.
Mason, T.H.E., Stephens, P.A., Apollonio, M. & Willis, S.G. (2014) Predicting potential responses to future climate change in an alpine
ungulate: interspecific interactions exceed climate effects. Global Change Biology. doi: 10.1111/gcb.12641
Nowak, K., le Roux, A., Richards, S.A., Scheijen, C., & Hill, R. (2014) Human observers impact habituated samango monkeys’ perceived landscape of fear. Behavioral Ecology. 25: 1199-1204.
Runge, C.A., Martin, T.G., Possingham, H.P., Willis, S.G. & Fuller, R.A. (2014) Conserving mobile species. Frontiers in Ecology and
Evolution. 12: 395-402.
Stephens, P.A., Houston, A.I., Harding, K.C., Boyd, I.L. & McNamara, J.M. 2014. Capital and income breeding: the role of food supply. Ecology. 95: 882–896.
Border, J.A., Pearce-Higgins, J.W., Hewson, C.M., Howard, C., Stephens, P. A.,, Willis, S.G., Fuller, R.A., Hanson, J.O., Sierdsema, H., Foppen, R.P.B., Brotons, L., Gargallo, G., Fink, D., Baillie, S.R. (2025) Expanding protected area coverage for migratory birds could improve long-term population trends. Nature Communications. 16(1):1813. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-57019-x.
Davis, S., Grainger, M., Pfeifer, M., Pattison, Z., Stephens, P. A., Sanderson, R. (2025) Restoring riparian habitats for benefits to biodiversity and human livelihoods: a systematic map protocol for riparian restoration approaches in the tropics. Environmental Evidence. 14(1):2. https://doi.org/10.1186/s13750-025-00355-8.
De Frenne, P., ... Senior, R.A., ... (2025) Ten practical guidelines for microclimate research in terrestrial ecosystems. Methods in Ecology and Evolution. 16(2). https://doi.org/10.1111/2041-210X.14476.
Jarrett, D., Barnett, R., Bradfer-Lawrence, T., Froidevaus, J.S.P., ... Willis, S.G., ... (2025) Mitigating bias in long‐term terrestrial ecoacoustic studies. Journal of Applied Ecology. https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2664.70000.
Oswald, A.M., Mannion, N., Willis, S.G., Stephens, P. A., McGowan, P.M. (2025) What is favourable conservation status?: A systematic map protocol. Environmental Evidence. 14,3. https://doi.org/10.1186/s13750-025-00356-7.
Simkins, T., Sutherland, W.J., Dicks, L.V., Hilton-Taylor, C., Grace, M.K., Butchart, S.H.M., Senior, R.A., Petrovan, S.O. (2025) Past conservation efforts reveal which actions lead to positive outcomes for species. PLoS biology. 23(3).
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pbio.3003051.
2024
Beatham, S.E., Stephens, P.A., Goodwin, D., Coats, J., Thomas, E., Rochester, I. and Massei, G. (2024) An assessment of seasonal bait uptake by individual grey squirrels to develop a delivery system for oral contraceptives. Pest Management Science, 80: 5597-5607. https://doi.org/10.1002/ps.8379.
Border, J. A., Boersch-Supan, P. H., Pearce-Higgins, J. W., Hewson, C. M., Howard, C., Stephens, P.A., Willis, S.G., Houston, A. I., Gargallo, G., & Baillie, S. R. (2024) Spatial variation in spring arrival patterns of Afro-Palaearctic bird migration across Europe. Global Ecology and Biogeography. 33, e13850. https://doi.org/10.1111/geb.13850.
Branston, C.J., Whittingham, M.J., Phillimore, A.B., Leech, D., Willis, S.G. (2024). Ibis. 166(2). https://doi.org/10.1111/ibi.13248.
Burton, A.C., Beirne, C., Gaynor, K.M. … Stephens, P.A., … et al. (2024) Mammal responses to global changes in human activity vary by trophic group and landscape. Nature Ecology & Evolution. 8, 924–935. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41559-024-02363-2.
Dickinson, E.R., McFarland, C., Toïgo, C., Scantlebury, M.D., Stephens, P.A., Marks, N.J. & Morgan E.R. (2024) Host movement dominates the predicted effects of climate change on parasite transmission between wild and domestic mountain ungulates. Royal Science Open Science. 11(1). http://doi.org/10.1098/rsos.230469.
Dobson, R., Willis, S.G., Jennings, S., Cheke, R.A., Challinor, A.J., Dallimer, M. (2024) Near‐Term Forecasting of Terrestrial Mobile Species Distributions for Adaptive Management Under Extreme Weather Events. Global Change Biology. 30(11). https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.17579.
Evans, B.C., Rowcliffe, M., Carbone, C., Cartledge, E.L., Al-Fulaij, N., Pringle, H., Yarnell, R., Stephens, P.A., Hill, R.A., Scott-Gatty, K. Hartland, C. & Horwood, B. (2024) Lens on the wild: innovations in wildlife monitoring with machine learning. environmental SCIENTIST. https://www.the-ies.org/analysis/lens-wild-innovations-wildlife-0.
Ferretti, F., Lovari, S., Lucherini, M., Hayward, M.W. & Stephens, P.A. (2024) Continent-wide differences in diet breadth of large terrestrial carnivores: the effect of large prey and competitors. Mammal Review. 54(3). https://doi.org/10.1111/mam.12343.
Gillie, E. R., Bryndum-Buchholz, A., Willis, S.G., Eddy, T.D. (2024) Exploring novel North Water Polynya ecosystems under climate change. PLOS Climate. 3(10). https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pclm.0000490.
Heger, T., Elliot-Graves, A., Kaiser, M.I., Morrow, K.H., Bausman, W., Dietl, G.P., Dormann, C.F., Gibson, D.J., Griesemer, J., Itescu, Y., Jax, K., Latimer, A.M., Liu, C., Starrfelt, J., Stephens, P.A. and Jeschke, J.M. (2025), Looking beyond Popper: how philosophy can be relevant to ecology. Oikos, 2025: e10994. https://doi.org/10.1111/oik.10994.
Howard, C., Mason, T.H.E., Baillie, S.R., Border, J., Hewson, C.M., Houston, A.I., Pearce-Higgins, J.W., Bauer, S., Willis, S.G., Stephens, P.A. (2024). Explaining and predicting animal migration under global change. Diversity and Distributions. 30(2). https://doi.org/10.1111/ddi.13797.
Jarrett, D. and Willis, S.G. (2024) Acoustic detection rate can outperform traditional survey approaches in estimating relative densities of breeding waders. Ibis. https://doi.org/10.1111/ibi.13375.
Jarrett, D., Lehikoinen, A., Willis, S.G. (2024) Monitoring wader breeding productivity. Ibis. 166(3) https://doi.org/10.1111/ibi.13298.
Kemppinen, J., ... Senior, R.A. ... (2024) Microclimate, an important part of ecology and biogeography. Global Ecology and Biogeography. 33(6).
https://doi.org/10.1111/geb.13834.
Senior, R.A., Bagwyn, R., Leng, D., Killion, A.K., Jetz, W., Wilcove, D.S. (2024) Global shortfalls in documented actions to conserve biodiversity. Nature 630, pages 387–391. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-024-07498-7.
Ternyik, B., McKaughan, J.E.T., Hill, R.A., & Stephens, P.A. (2024) Efficient data collection for camera trap-based density estimation: A preliminary assessment. Ecological Solutions and Evidence, 5, e12300. https://doi.org/10.1002/2688-8319.12300.
2023
Beatham, S.E., Stephens, P.A., Coats, J.Phillips, J. & Massei, G. (2023) A camera trap method for estimating target densities of grey squirrels to inform wildlife management applications. Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution, 11, 1096321. DOI: 10.3389/fevo.2023.1096321.
Beatham S.E., Coats J., Stephens, P.A., & Massei, G. (2023) Factors affecting bait uptake by the grey squirrel (Sciurus carolinensis) and the future delivery of oral contraceptives. Wildlife Research. 51(1). DOI: 10.1071/WR22159.
Chalmers, C., Fergus, P., Wich, S., Longmore, S.N., Davies Walsh, N., Stephens, P.A., Sutherland, C., Matthews, N., Mudde, J. & Nuseibeh, A. (2023) Removing Human Bottlenecks in Bird Classification Using Camera Trap Images and Deep Learning. Remote Sensing, 15, 2638, DOI: 10.3390/rs15102638.
Dobson, R., Challinor, A.J., Cheke, R.A., Jennings, S., Willis, S.G., Dallimer, M. (2023) DynamicSDM: An R package for species geographical distribution and abundance modelling at high spatiotemporal resolution. Methods in Ecology and Evolution. 14(5). https://doi.org/10.1111/2041-210X.14101.
Edney, G., Smart, T., Howat, F., Batchelor, Z., Hughes, C., Moss, A. (2023) Assessing the effect of interpretation design traits on zoo visitor engagement. Zoo Biology. 42(4).https://doi.org/10.1002/zoo.21759.
ENETWILD-consortium, Casaer, J., Jansen, P., Roy, D., Stephens, P.A., Blanco-Aguiar, J.A., Liefting, Y., Vicente, J. & Smith, G.C. (2023). Improvement of information technology tools to collect, process and analyse data on wildlife population (2023). European Food Safety Authority. 20(8):EN-8217. 22 pp. doi:10.2903/sp.efsa.2023.EN-8217.
Fuentes-Allende, N., Stephens, P.A., MacTavish, L.M., MacTavish, D. and Willis, S.G., (2023), Remote monitoring of short-term body mass variation in savanna ungulates. Remote Sensing in Ecology and Conservation. 9(5). DOI: 10.1002/rse2.338.
Green, S.E., Stephens, P.A., Whittingham, M.J & Hill, R.A. (2023) Camera trapping with photos and videos: implications for ecology and citizen science. Remote Sensing in Ecology and Conservation. https://doi.org/10.1002/rse2.309.
Gregory, R.D., Eaton, M.A., Burfield, I., Grice, P.V., Howard, C., Klvanova, A., Stephens, P.A., Willis, S.G., Woodward, I.D. & Burns, F. (2023) Drivers of the changing abundance of European birds at two spatial scales. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 378, 20220198. DOI: 10.1098/rstb.2022.0198
Howard, C. et al, Willis, S.G. (2023). Local colonisations and extinctions of European birds are poorly explained by changes in climate suitability. Nature Communications. 14(1). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-39093-1.
McKaughan, J. E. T., Stephens, P. A., & Hill, R. A. (2023). Estimating mesocarnivore abundance on commercial farmland using distance sampling with camera traps. Ecological Solutions and Evidence, 4, e12229. https://doi.org/10.1002/2688-8319.12229.
Marjakangas, E.L., Bosco, L., Verslujis, M., ... Willis, S.G., ... (2023) Ecological barriers mediate spatiotemporal shifts of bird communities at a continental scale. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 120(23). https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2213330120.
Nesbit, D.A, Cowen, M.C., Grether, G.F, Drury, J.P. (2023) Interspecific territoriality has facilitated recent increases in the breeding habitat overlap of North American passerines. Ecography e06573. https://doi.org/10.1111/ecog.06573.
Smith, G.C., Roy, D.R., Stephens, P.A., Casaer, J., Jansen, P.A. & Blanco-Aguiar, J.A. (2023) MAMMALNET – Citizen Science Data Collection from a One Health Perspective. CABI One Health Cases. DOI: 10.1079/onehealthcases.2023.0021.
Stewart, P.S., Stephens, P.A., Hill, R.A., Whittingham, M.J. & Dawson, W. (2023) Model selection in occupancy models: Inference versus prediction. Ecology, 104, e3942.https://doi.org/10.1002/ecy.3942.
Vada, R., Illanas, S., Acevedo, P., ... Stephens, P.A., ... (2023) Feral American mink (Neogale vison) continues to expand its European range: time to harmonize population monitoring and coordinate control. Mammal Review. DOI: 10.1111/mam.12315.
Zenni, R.D., Barlow, J., Pettorelli, N., Stephens, P.A., Rader, R., Siqueira, T., Gordon, R., Pinfield, T. and Nuñez, M.A. (2023), Multi-lingual literature searches are needed to unveil global knowledge. Journal of Applied Ecology, 60, 380-383.
https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2664.14370.
2022
Gibson, M.R., Runge, C.A., Stephens, P.A., Fuller, R.A. & Willis, S.G. (2022) Where nothing stands still: quantifying nomadism in Australian arid-zone birds. Landscape Ecology 37, 191-208. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10980-021-01343-2
Hsing, P.-Y., Hill, R.A., Smith, G.C., Bradley, S.P., Green, S.E., Kent, V.T., Mason, S.S., Rees, J.P., Whittingham, M.J., Cokill, J. & Stephens, P.A. (2022) Large-scale mammal monitoring: the potential of a citizen science camera-trapping project in the UK. Ecological Solutions and Evidence, 3, e12180
Lawrence, K.B., Barlow, C.R., Bensusan, K., Perez, C. & Willis S.G. (2022) Phenological trends in the pre‐and post‐breeding migration of long‐distance migratory birds. Global Change Biology 28, 375-389. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.15916
Marion, S., Demšar, U., Davies, A.L., Stephens, P.A., Irvine, R.J. & Long J.A. (2022) Red deer behavioural response to hiking activity: A study using camera traps. Journal of Zoology, 317, 249-261
Marion, S., Demšar, U., Davies, A.L., Stephens, P.A., Irvine, R.J. & Long J.A. (2022) Spatial and temporal variation in interspecific interaction: impact of a recreational landscape. European Journal of Wildlife Research, 68:36. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10344-022-01584-9.
Mason, S.S., Hill, R.A., Whittingham, M.J., Cokill, J., Smith, G.C. & Stephens, P.A. (2022) Camera trap distance sampling for terrestrial mammal population monitoring: lessons learnt from a UK case study. Remote Sensing in Ecology and Conservation, 8, 717-730.
O’Neill, H.M., Twiss, S.D., Stephens, P.A., Mason, T.H.E., Ryrholm, N. & Burman, J. (2022) The importance of direct and indirect trophic interactions in determining the presence of a locally rare day-flying moth. Oecologia, 198, 531-542. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00442-021-05100-9.
Pearce-Higgins, J.W., Antão, L.H., Bates, R.E., Bowgen, K.M., Bradshaw, C.D., Duffield, S.J., Ffoulkes, C., Franco, A.M.A., Geschke, J., Gregory, R.D., Harley, M.J., Hodgson, J.A., Jenkins, R.L.M., Kapos, V., Maltby, K.M., Watts, O., Willis, S.G. & Morecroft, M.D. (2022) A framework for climate change adaptation indicators for the natural environment. Ecological Indicators 136, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2022.108690.
Stewart, P.S., Voskamp, A., Santini, L., Biber, M.F., Devenish, A.J.M., Hof, C., Willis, S.G., and Tobias, J.T., (2022) Global impacts of climate change on avian functional diversity. Ecology Letters, 25, 673– 685. https://doi.org/10.1111/ele.13830
Voskamp, A., Hof, C., Biber, M.F., Böhning-Gaese, K., Hickler, T., Niamir, A., Willis, S.G. & Fritz, S.A. (2022) Projected climate change impacts on the phylogenetic diversity of the world's terrestrial birds: more than species numbers. Proceedings B 289, https://doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2021.2184.
2021
Baker, E., Drury, J.P., Judge, J., Roy, D.B., Smith, G.C. and Stephens, P.A. (2021) The Verification of Ecological Citizen Science Data: Current Approaches and Future Possibilities. Citizen Science: Theory and Practice, 6, http://doi.org/10.5334/cstp.351
Beatham, S.E., Goodwin, D., Coats, J., Stephens, P.A. & Massei, G. (2021) A PIT‐tag–based method for measuring individual bait uptake in small mammals. Ecological Solutions and Evidence, 2, e12081. https://doi.org/10.1002/2688-8319.12081.
Chirichella, R., Stephens, P.A., Mason, T.H.E. & Apollonio, M. (2021) Contrasting Effects of Climate Change on Alpine chamois. Journal of Wildlife Management 85, 109-20.
Dickinson, E.R., Stephens, P.A., Marks, N.J., Wilson, R.P. & Scantlebury, D.M. (2021) Behaviour, temperature and terrain slope impact estimates of energy expenditure using oxygen and dynamic body acceleration. Animal Biotelemetry, 9, 47. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40317-021-00269-5
Dickinson, E.R., Twining, J.P., Wilson, R.P., Stephens, P.A., Westander, J. Marks, N.J. & Scantlebury, D.M. (2021) Limitations of using surrogates for behaviour classification of accelerometer data: refining methods using random forest models in Caprids. Movement Ecology 9, 28. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40462-021-00265-7.
Marion, S., Demšar, U., Davies, A.L., Stephens, P.A., Irvine, R.J. & Long J.A. (2021) Red deer exhibit spatial and temporal responses to hiking activity. Wildlife Biology, 2021, wlb.00853. https://doi.org/10.2981/wlb.00853.
Mason, T.H., Stephens, P.A., Gilbert, G., Green, R.E., Wilson, J.D., Jennings, K., Allen, J.R., Huntley, B., Howard, C. and Willis, S.G., (2021). Using indices of species’ potential range to inform conservation status. Ecological Indicators, 123, p.107343.
Pettorelli, N., Barlow, J., Nunez, M.A., Rader, R., Stephens, P.A., Pinfield, T. & Newton, E. (2021) How international journals can support ecology from the Global South. Journal of Applied Ecology 58, 4-8.
Stewart, P.S., Hill, R.A., Stephens, P.A., Whittingham, M.J., Dawson, W. (2021) Impacts of invasive plants on animal behaviour. Ecology Letters 24, 891-907.
Titley, M.A., Butchart, S.H.M., Jones, V.R., Whittingham, M.J., Willis, S.G., (2021) Global inequities and political borders challenge nature conservation under climate change, PNAS , 118 (7) e2011204118; DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2011204118
2020
Apollonio, M., Merli, E., Chirichella, R., Pokorny, B., Alagic, A., Flajsman, K. & Stephens, P.A. (2020) Capital and Income Breeding in Male Ungulates: Causes and Consequences of Strategy Differences Among Species. Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution 8, 521767
Brooker, S.A., Stephens, P.A., Whittingham, M.J. & Willis, S.G. (2020) Automated detection and classification of birdsong: an ensemble approach. Ecological Indicators 117, 106609
Docherty, T., Hethcoat, M., MacTavish, L., MacTavish, D., Dell, S., Stephens, P.A. & Willis, S.G. (2020) Burning savanna for avian species richness and functional diversity. Ecological Applications. https://doi.org/10.1002/eap.2091
Dickinson, E.R., Stephens, P.A., Marks, N.J., Wilson, R.P. & Scantlebury, D.M. (2020) Best practice for collar deployment of tri-axial accelerometers on a terrestrial quadruped to provide accurate measurement of body acceleration. Animal Biotelemetry 8, 9
Green, S.E., Rees, J.P., Stephens, P.A., Hill, R.A. & Giordano, A.J. (2020) Innovations in Camera Trapping Technology and Approaches: Applications for Citizen Science. Animals 10, 132. https://doi.org/10.3390/ani10010132
Howard, C., Stephens, P.A., Pearce-Higgins, J.W., Gregory, R.D, Butchart, S.H.M., & Willis, S.G. (2020) Disentangling the relative roles of climate and land cover change in driving the long-term population trends of European migratory birds. Diversity and Distributions 00, 1-14
Howard, C., Flather, C.H. & Stephens, P.A. A global assessment of the drivers of threatened terrestrial species richness. Nature Communications 11, 993 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-14771-6
Hsing, P.-Y., Coghill, L., Ryder, J., Austin, M., Dooley, S., Ellison, A., Fenwick, C., Garland, M., Humphrey, P., Proudlock, H., Robson, A., Steer, C., Turnbull, L., Kent, V.T., Bradley, S.P., Hill, R.A., Ascroft, R. & Stephens, P.A. (2020) Citizen scientists: school students conducting, contributing to and communicating ecological research - experiences of a school-university partnership. School Science Review 101, 67-74
Ferretti, F., Lovari, S., Lucherini, M., Hayward, M.W. & Stephens, P.A. (2020) Only the largest terrestrial Carnivores increase their dietary breadth with increasing prey richness. Mammal Review 50, 291-303
Jarrett, D., Calladine, J., Cotton, A., Wilson, M. and Humphreys, E. 2020. Behavioural responses of non-breeding waterbirds to drone approach are associated with flock size and habitat, Bird Study. 67(2), 190-196.
Marion, S., Davies, A., Demsar, U., Irvine, R.J., Stephens, P.A. & Long, J. (2020) A systematic review of methods for studying the impacts of outdoor recreation on terrestrial wildlife. Global Ecology and Conservation 22, e00917. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gecco.2020.e00917
2019
Bradfer-Lawrence, T., Gardner, N., Bunnefeld, L., Bunnefeld, N., Willis, S. G., & Dent, D. H. (2019) Guidelines for the use of acoustic indices in environmental research. Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 10(10), 1796–1807. https://doi.org/10.1111/2041-210X.13254
Howard, C., Flather, C. H., & Stephens, P. A. (2019) What drives at-risk species richness? Environmental factors are more influential than anthropogenic factors or biological traits. Conservation Letters, 12(2), e12624. https://doi.org/10.1111/conl.12624
Littlewood, N. A., Mason, T. H. E., Hughes, M., Jaques, R., Whittingham, M. J., & Willis, S. G. (2019) The influence of different aspects of grouse moorland management on nontarget bird assemblages. Ecology and Evolution, 9(19), 11089–11101. https://doi.org/10.1002/ece3.5613
Mason, L. R., Green, R. E., Howard, C., Stephens, P. A., Willis, S. G., Aunins, A., … Gregory, R. D. (2019) Population responses of bird populations to climate change on two continents vary with species’ ecological traits but not with direction of change in climate suitability. Climatic Change. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-019-02549-9
Nunez, M.A., Barlow, J., Cadotte, M.W., Lucas, K., Newton, E., Pettorelli, N. & Stephens, P.A. (2019) Assessing the uneven global distribution of readership, submissions and publications in applied ecology: Obvious problems without obvious solutions. Journal of Applied Ecology 56, 4-9
Pettorelli, N., Barlow, J., Cadotte, M.W., Lucas, K., Newton, E., Nuñez, M.A. and Stephens, P.A. (2019), Applied ecologists in a landscape of fear. J Appl Ecol, 56: 1034-1039. https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2664.13382
Stephens, P.A., Vieira, M.V., Willis, S.G. & Carbone, C. (2019) The limits to population density in birds and mammals. Ecology Letters doi: 10.1111/ele.13227
2018
Barlow, J., Stephens, P.A., Bode, M., Cadotte, M.W., Lucas, K., Newton, E., Nunez, M.A. & Pettorelli, N. (2018) On the extinction of the single-authored paper: The causes and consequences of increasingly collaborative applied ecological research. Journal of Applied Ecology 55, 1-4
Burgess, M.D., Smith, K.W., Leech, D., Pearce-Higgins, J.W., Branston, C.J., Briggs, K., Clark, J.R., Evans, K.L., du Feu, C.R., Nager, R., Sheldon, B.C., Smith, J., Whytock, R.C., Willis, S.G. and Phillimore, A.B. (2018) Tritrophic phenological match-mismatch in space and time. Nature Ecology and Evolution.
Cusack, J. J., Duthie, B., Rakotonarivo, S., Pozo, R. A., Mason, T.H.E. et al. (2018) Time series analysis reveals synchrony and asynchrony between conflict management effort and increasing large grazing bird populations in northern Europe. Conservation Letters.
Ferretti, F., Lovari, S. & Stephens, P.A. (2018) Joint effects of weather and interspecific competition on foraging behaviour and survival of a mountain herbivore. Current Zoology zoy032.
Hof, C., Voskamp, A., Biber, M. F., Böhning-Gaese, K., Engelhardt, E. K., Niamir, A., Willis, S.G., & Hickler, T. (2018). Bioenergy cropland expansion may offset positive effects of climate change mitigation for global vertebrate diversity. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 115(52), 13294 LP – 13299. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1807745115.
Hsing, P.-Y., Bradley, S.P., Kent, V.T., Hill, R.A., Smith, G.C., Whittingham, M.J., Cokill, J., Crawley, D., MammalWeb Volunteers, Stephens, P.A. (2018) Economical crowdsourcing for camera trap image classification. Remote Sensing in Ecology and Conservation 4, 361-374 https://doi.org/10.1002/rse2.84.
Howard, C., Stephens, P. A., Tobias, J. A., Sheard, C., Butchart, S. H., & Willis, S. G. (2018) Flight range, fuel load and the impact of climate change on the journeys of migrant birds. Proc. R. Soc. B 285(1873), 20172329.
Mason, T. H. E., Keane, A., Redpath, S.M., & Bunnefeld, N. (2018) The changing environment of conservation conflict: geese and farming in Scotland. Journal of Applied Ecology.
Pettorelli, N., Barlow, J., Stephens, P.A., Durant, S.M., Connor, B., Schulte to Buhne, H., Sandom, C.J., Wentworth, J. & du Toit, J.T. (2018) Making rewilding fit for policy. Journal of Applied Ecology 55, 1114-1125
Stephens, P.A. (2018) Ecology: Luck, Scarcity, and the Fate of Populations. Current Biology 28, R1384-1386
2017
Cadotte, M.W., Barlow, J., Nunez, M.A., Pettorelli, & Stephens, P.A. (2017) Solving environmental problems in the Anthropocene: the need to bring novel theoretical advances into the applied ecology fold. Journal of Applied Ecology 54, 1-6.
Mason, T. H. E., & Fortin, D. (2017) Functional responses in animal movement explain spatial heterogeneity in animal-habitat relationships. Journal of Animal Ecology
Mason, T. H. E., Brivio F., Stephens, P.A., Apollonio, M., & Grignolio, S. (2017) The behavioral trade-off between thermoregulation and foraging in a heat-sensitive species. Behavioral Ecology
Voskamp, A., Baker, D.J., Stephens, P.A., Valdes, P. & Willis, S.G. (2017) Global patterns in the divergence between phylogenetic diversity and species richness in terrestrial birds. Journal of Biogeography. DOI: 10.1111/jbi.12916
Zhao, Q.*, Mason T.H.E.*, Azeria, E.T., Le Blanc, M.L., Lemaître, J., Barnier, F., Bichet, O., & Fortin, D. (2017) Robust predictive performance of indicator species despite different co-occurrence patterns of birds in natural and managed boreal forests. Forest Ecology and Management 397, 108-116 *equal contribution
2016
Bagchi, R., Hole, D.G., Butchart, S.H.M., Collingwood, Y.C., Fishpool, L., Plumptre, A., Owiunji, I., Mugabe, H. & Willis, S.G. (2016) Forecasting potential routes for movement of endemic birds among important sites for biodiversity in the Albertine Rift under projected climate change. Ecography
Baker, D.J., Hartley, I., Pearce-Higgins, J., Jones, R. & Willis, S.G. (2016) Neglected issues in using weather and climate information in ecology. Diversity and Distributions
Baker, D. J., Hartley, A. J., Butchart, S. H. M. & Willis, S. G. (2016) Choice of baseline climate data impacts projected species' responses to climate change. Global Change Biology 22, 2392-2404. DOI: 10.1111/gcb.13273
Barlow, J., Cadotte, M., Newton, E., Pettorelli, N., Plane, A., Stephens, P.A. & Whittingham, M.J. (2016) Achieving and communicating globally relevant applied ecological research. Journal of Applied Ecology 53, 1-4.
Davis, M.L., Stephens, P.A. & Kjellander, P. (in press) Beyond climate envelope projections: Roe deer survival and environmental change. Journal of Wildlife Management. doi: 10.1002/jwmg.1029.
Sanderson, F.J., Pople, R.G., Ieronymidou, C., Burfield, I.J. Gregory, R.D., Willis, S.G., Howard, C., Stephens, P.A., Beresford, A.E. & Donald, P.F. (2016) Assessing the performance of EU nature legislation in protecting target bird species in an era of climate change. Conservation Letters 9, 172–180. DOI: 10.1111/conl.12196.
Stephens, P.A., L. R. Mason, R. E. Green, R. D. Gregory, J. R. Sauer, J. Alison, A. Aunins, L. Brotons, S. H. M. Butchart, T. Campedelli, T. Chodkiewicz, P. Chylarecki, O. Crowe, J. Elts, V. Escandell, R. P. B. Foppen, H. Heldbjerg, S. Herrando, M. Husby, F. Jiguet, A. Lehikoinen, A. Lindstrom, D. G. Noble, J.-Y. Paquet, J. Reif, T. Sattler, T. Szep, N. Teufelbauer, S. Trautmann, A. J. van Strien, C. A. M. van Turnhout, P. Vorisek, S. G. Willis. (2016) Consistent response of bird populations to climate change on two continents. Science 352 (6281), 84-87. DOI: 10.1126/science.aac4858
Stephens, P.A. (2016) Population Viability Analysis. Oxford Bibliographies in Ecology. Ed. David Gibson. New York: Oxford University Press, 25/02/2016. doi: 10.1093/OBO/9780199830060-0142.
2015
Baker, D. Burgess, N.D. Butchart, S.H.M., Carr, J., Hartley, A., Smith, R., Belle, E. & Willis, S.G. (2015) Assessing climate change impacts for vertebrate fauna across the West Africa protected area network using regionally appropriate climate projections. Diversity and Distributions, 21, 991-1003. DOI: 10.1111/ddi.12337.
Bassi, E. Willis, S.G., Passilongo, D., Mattioli, L. & Apollonio, M. (2015) Predicting the spatial distribution of wolf (Canis lupus) breeding areas in a mountainous region of central Italy. PLoS One, 10(6): e0124698. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0124698.
Hindle, B.J., Kerr, C., Richards, S.A. & Willis, S.G. (2015) Topographical variation reduces phenological mismatch between a butterfly and its nectar source. Journal of Insect Conservation, 19, 227-236.
Howard, C., Stephens, P.A., Pearce-Higgins, J., Gregory, R.A. & Willis, S.G. (2015) The drivers of avian abundance: patterns in the relative importance of climate and land use. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 24, 1249-1260.
Palmer, G., Stephens, P.A., Ward, A.I. & Willis, S.G. (2015) Nationwide trophic cascades: changes in avian community structure driven by ungulates. Nature: Scientific Reports, 5:15602, doi: 10.1038/srep15601.
Pacifici, M., Foden, W.B., Visconti, P., Watson, J.E.M., Butchart, S.H.M., Kovacs, K.M., Scheffers, B.R., Hole, D.G. Martin, T.G., Akçakaya, H.R., Corlett, R.T., Huntley, B., Bickford, D., Carr, J.A., Hoffmann, A.A., Midgley, G.F., Pearce-Kelly, P., Pearson, R.G., Williams, S.E., Willis, S.G., Young, B. & Rondini, C. (2014) Assessing species vulnerability to climate change Nature Climate Change, 5, 215-224.
Stephens, P.A., Pettorelli, N., Barlow, J., Whittingham, M.J. & Cadotte, M.W. (2015) Management by proxy? The use of indices in applied ecology. Journal of Applied Ecology, 52, 1-6.
Stephens, P.A. (2015) Land sparing, land sharing, and the fate of Africa’s lions. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the USA. 112, 14753–14754.
Willis, S.G., Foden, W.B., Baker, D. Belle, E. Burgess, N.D., Carr, J., Doswald, N., Garcia, R., Hartley, A., Hof, C., Newbold, T., Rahbek, C., Smith, R., Visconti, P., Young, B. & Butchart, S.H.M. (2015) Integrating climate change vulnerability assessments from species distribution modelling and traits based approaches. Biological Conservation, 190, 167–178. DOI:10.1016/j.biocon.2015.05.001.
2014
Collingham, Huntley, Altwegg, Barnard, Beveridge, Gregory, Mason, Oschadleus, Simmons, Willis & Green (2014), Prediction of mean adult survival rates of southern African birds from demographic and ecological covariates. Ibis, 156: 741–754.
Devenish-Nelson, E.S., Richards, S.A., Harris, S., Soulsbury, C.D. & Stephens, P.A. (2014) Demonstrating frequency-dependent transmission of sarcoptic mange in red foxes. Biology Letters. 10: 20140524.
Howard, C., Stephens, P.A., Pearce-Higgins, J.W., Gregory, R.D. & Willis, S.G. (2014) Improving species distribution models: the value of data on abundance. Methods in Ecology and Evolution doi: 10.1111/2041-210X.12184.
Lawson, C.R., Hodgson, G.A., Wilson, R.J. & Richards, S.A. (2014) Prevalence, thresholds, and the performance of presence-absence models. Methods in Ecology and Evolution 5: 54-64.View ORCID ProfileChristian Hof, Alke Voskamp, Matthias F. Biber, Katrin Böhning-Gaese, Eva Katharina Engelhardt, View ORCID ProfileAidin Niamir, View ORCID ProfileStephen G. Willis, and Thomas Hickler
Mason, T.H.E., Apollonio, M. Chirichella, R., Willis, S.G. & Stephens, P.A. (2014) Environmental change and long-term body mass declines in an alpine mammal. Frontiers in Zoology. 11: 69.
Mason, T.H.E., Stephens, P.A., Apollonio, M. & Willis, S.G. (2014) Predicting potential responses to future climate change in an alpine
ungulate: interspecific interactions exceed climate effects. Global Change Biology. doi: 10.1111/gcb.12641
Nowak, K., le Roux, A., Richards, S.A., Scheijen, C., & Hill, R. (2014) Human observers impact habituated samango monkeys’ perceived landscape of fear. Behavioral Ecology. 25: 1199-1204.
Runge, C.A., Martin, T.G., Possingham, H.P., Willis, S.G. & Fuller, R.A. (2014) Conserving mobile species. Frontiers in Ecology and
Evolution. 12: 395-402.
Stephens, P.A., Houston, A.I., Harding, K.C., Boyd, I.L. & McNamara, J.M. 2014. Capital and income breeding: the role of food supply. Ecology. 95: 882–896.