Past Publications by Group Members
2013
Bagchi, R., Crosby, M., Huntley, B., Hole, D.G., Butchart, S., Collingham, Y.C., Kalra, M., Rajkumar, J., Rahmani, A., Pandey, M., Gurung, H., Trai, T., Van Quang, N. & Willis, S.G. (2013) Evaluating the effectiveness of conservation site networks under climate change: accounting for uncertainty. Global Change Biology 19, 1236-1248.
Devenish-Nelson, E.S., Harris, S., Soulsbury, C.D., Richards, S.A. & Stephens, P.A. (2013) Demography of a carnivore, the red fox, Vulpes vulpes: what have we learnt from 70 years of published studies? Oikos 122, 705-716. (Oikos blog)
Devenish-Nelson, E.S., Stephens, P.A., Harris, S., Soulsbury, C.D. & Richards, S.A. (2013) Does litter size variation affect models of terrestrial carnivore extinction risk and management? PLoS ONE 8, e58060.
Larson, G., Stephens, P.A., Tehrani, J. & Layton, R.H. (2013) Exapting exaptation. Trends in Ecology & Evolution 28, 497-498.
Phipps, W.L., Willis, S.G., Wolter, K. & Naidoo, V. (2013) Foraging ranges of immature African white-backed vultures (Gyps africanus) and their use of protected areas in southern Africa. PLoS ONE 8, e52813.
Bagchi, R., Crosby, M., Huntley, B., Hole, D.G., Butchart, S., Collingham, Y.C., Kalra, M., Rajkumar, J., Rahmani, A., Pandey, M., Gurung, H., Trai, T., Van Quang, N. & Willis, S.G. (2013) Evaluating the effectiveness of conservation site networks under climate change: accounting for uncertainty. Global Change Biology 19, 1236-1248.
Devenish-Nelson, E.S., Harris, S., Soulsbury, C.D., Richards, S.A. & Stephens, P.A. (2013) Demography of a carnivore, the red fox, Vulpes vulpes: what have we learnt from 70 years of published studies? Oikos 122, 705-716. (Oikos blog)
Devenish-Nelson, E.S., Stephens, P.A., Harris, S., Soulsbury, C.D. & Richards, S.A. (2013) Does litter size variation affect models of terrestrial carnivore extinction risk and management? PLoS ONE 8, e58060.
Larson, G., Stephens, P.A., Tehrani, J. & Layton, R.H. (2013) Exapting exaptation. Trends in Ecology & Evolution 28, 497-498.
Phipps, W.L., Willis, S.G., Wolter, K. & Naidoo, V. (2013) Foraging ranges of immature African white-backed vultures (Gyps africanus) and their use of protected areas in southern Africa. PLoS ONE 8, e52813.
2012
Davis, M.L., Stephens, P.A., Willis, S.G., Bassi, E., Marcon, A., Donaggio, E., Capitani, C. & Apollonio, M. (2012) Prey selection by an apex predator: the importance of sampling uncertainty. PLoS ONE 7, e47894.
Harder, L.D., Hobbhahn, N. & Richards, S.A. (2012) How depressed? Estimates of inbreeding effects during seed development depend on reproductive conditions. Evolution 66, 1375-1386.
Mason, T.H.E., Stephens, P.A., Willis, S.G., Chirichella, R., Apollonio, M. & Richards, S.A. (2012) Intra-seasonal variation in reproductive effort: young males finish last. American Naturalist 180, 823-830.
Twiss, S.D., Cairns, C., Culloch, R., Richards, S.A. & Pomeroy, P. (2012) Variation in female grey seal (Halichoerus grypus) reproductive performance correlates to proactive-reactive behavioural types. PLoS ONE 7, e49598.
Davis, M.L., Stephens, P.A., Willis, S.G., Bassi, E., Marcon, A., Donaggio, E., Capitani, C. & Apollonio, M. (2012) Prey selection by an apex predator: the importance of sampling uncertainty. PLoS ONE 7, e47894.
Harder, L.D., Hobbhahn, N. & Richards, S.A. (2012) How depressed? Estimates of inbreeding effects during seed development depend on reproductive conditions. Evolution 66, 1375-1386.
Mason, T.H.E., Stephens, P.A., Willis, S.G., Chirichella, R., Apollonio, M. & Richards, S.A. (2012) Intra-seasonal variation in reproductive effort: young males finish last. American Naturalist 180, 823-830.
Twiss, S.D., Cairns, C., Culloch, R., Richards, S.A. & Pomeroy, P. (2012) Variation in female grey seal (Halichoerus grypus) reproductive performance correlates to proactive-reactive behavioural types. PLoS ONE 7, e49598.
2011
Hole, D.G., Huntley, B., Arinaitwe, J., Butchart, S.H.M., Collingham, Y.C., Fishpool, L.D.C., Pain, D.J. & Willis, S.G. (2011) Towards a management framework for key biodiversity networks in the face of climatic change. Conservation Biology 25, 305-315.
Mason, T.H.E., Chirichella, R., Richards, S.A., Stephens, P.A., Willis, S.G. & Apollonio, M. (2011) Contrasting life histories in neighbouring populations of a large mammal. PLoS ONE 6, e28002.
Pearce-Higgins, J., Bradbury, R.B., Chamberlain, D., Drewitt, A., Langston, R. & Willis, S.G. (2011) Targeting research to underpin climate change adaptation for birds. Ibis 152, 207-211.
Richards, S.A., Whittingham, M.J. & Stephens, P.A. (2011) Model selection and model averaging in behavioural ecology: the utility of the IT-AIC framework. Behavioral Ecology and Sociobiology 65, 77-89.
Flather, C.H., Hayward, G.D., Beissinger, S.R. & Stephens, P.A. (2011) A general target for MVPs: unsupported and unnecessary. Trends in Ecology & Evolution 26, 620-622.
Beissinger, S.R., Flather, C.H., Hayward, G.D. & Stephens, P.A. (2011) No safety in numbers. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment 9, 486.
Lee, T., Speed, M.P. & Stephens, P.A. (2011) Honest signaling and the uses of prey coloration. American Naturalist 178, E1-E9.
Flather, C.H., Hayward, G.D., Beissinger, S.R. & Stephens, P.A. (2011) Minimum viable populations: is there a “magic number” for conservation practitioners? Trends in Ecology & Evolution 26, 307-316.
Carbone, C., Pettorelli, N. & Stephens, P.A. (2011) The bigger they come the harder they fall: body size and prey abundance influence predator-prey ratios. Biology Letters 7, 312-315.
White, T.A., Fotherby, H.A., Stephens, P.A. & Hoelzel, A.R. (2011) Genetic panmixia and demographic dependence across the North Atlantic in the deep-sea fish, blue hake (Antimora rostrata). Heredity 106, 690-699.
Wathugala, D.L., Richards, S.A., Knight, H. & Knight, M.R. (2011) OsSFR6 is a functional rice orthologue of SENSITIVE TO FREEZING-6 and can act as a regulator of COR gene expression, osmotic stress and freezing tolerance in Arabidopsis. New Phytologist 191, 984-995.
Hole, D.G., Huntley, B., Arinaitwe, J., Butchart, S.H.M., Collingham, Y.C., Fishpool, L.D.C., Pain, D.J. & Willis, S.G. (2011) Towards a management framework for key biodiversity networks in the face of climatic change. Conservation Biology 25, 305-315.
Mason, T.H.E., Chirichella, R., Richards, S.A., Stephens, P.A., Willis, S.G. & Apollonio, M. (2011) Contrasting life histories in neighbouring populations of a large mammal. PLoS ONE 6, e28002.
Pearce-Higgins, J., Bradbury, R.B., Chamberlain, D., Drewitt, A., Langston, R. & Willis, S.G. (2011) Targeting research to underpin climate change adaptation for birds. Ibis 152, 207-211.
Richards, S.A., Whittingham, M.J. & Stephens, P.A. (2011) Model selection and model averaging in behavioural ecology: the utility of the IT-AIC framework. Behavioral Ecology and Sociobiology 65, 77-89.
Flather, C.H., Hayward, G.D., Beissinger, S.R. & Stephens, P.A. (2011) A general target for MVPs: unsupported and unnecessary. Trends in Ecology & Evolution 26, 620-622.
Beissinger, S.R., Flather, C.H., Hayward, G.D. & Stephens, P.A. (2011) No safety in numbers. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment 9, 486.
Lee, T., Speed, M.P. & Stephens, P.A. (2011) Honest signaling and the uses of prey coloration. American Naturalist 178, E1-E9.
Flather, C.H., Hayward, G.D., Beissinger, S.R. & Stephens, P.A. (2011) Minimum viable populations: is there a “magic number” for conservation practitioners? Trends in Ecology & Evolution 26, 307-316.
Carbone, C., Pettorelli, N. & Stephens, P.A. (2011) The bigger they come the harder they fall: body size and prey abundance influence predator-prey ratios. Biology Letters 7, 312-315.
White, T.A., Fotherby, H.A., Stephens, P.A. & Hoelzel, A.R. (2011) Genetic panmixia and demographic dependence across the North Atlantic in the deep-sea fish, blue hake (Antimora rostrata). Heredity 106, 690-699.
Wathugala, D.L., Richards, S.A., Knight, H. & Knight, M.R. (2011) OsSFR6 is a functional rice orthologue of SENSITIVE TO FREEZING-6 and can act as a regulator of COR gene expression, osmotic stress and freezing tolerance in Arabidopsis. New Phytologist 191, 984-995.
2010
Devenish-Nelson, E.S., Harris, S., Soulsbury, C.D., Richards, S.A. & Stephens, P.A. (2010) Uncertainty in population growth rates: determining confidence intervals from point estimates of parameters. PLoS ONE 5, e13628.
Huntley, B., Barnard, P., Altwegg, R., Chambers, L., Coetzee, B.W.T., Gibson, L., Hockey, P.A.R., Hole, D.G., Midgley, G.F., Underhill, L.G. & Willis, S.G. (2010) Beyond bioclimatic envelopes: dynamic species’ range and abundance modelling in the context of climatic change. Ecography 33, 621-626.
Lindsay, S.W., Hole, D.G., Hutchinson, R.A., Richards, S.A. & Willis, S.G. (2010) Assessing the future threat from vivax malaria in the United Kingdom using two markedly different modelling approaches. Malaria Journal 9, 70.
Speed, M.P., Ruxton, G.D., Blount, J.D. & Stephens, P.A. (2010) Diversification of honest signals in a predator-prey system. Ecology Letters 13, 744-753.
Bywater, K., Apollonio, M., Cappai, N. & Stephens, P.A. (2010) Litter size and latitude in a large mammal: the wild boar Sus scrofa. Mammal Review 40, 212-220.
Devenish-Nelson, E.S., Harris, S., Soulsbury, C.D., Richards, S.A. & Stephens, P.A. (2010) Uncertainty in population growth rates: determining confidence intervals from point estimates of parameters. PLoS ONE 5, e13628.
Huntley, B., Barnard, P., Altwegg, R., Chambers, L., Coetzee, B.W.T., Gibson, L., Hockey, P.A.R., Hole, D.G., Midgley, G.F., Underhill, L.G. & Willis, S.G. (2010) Beyond bioclimatic envelopes: dynamic species’ range and abundance modelling in the context of climatic change. Ecography 33, 621-626.
Lindsay, S.W., Hole, D.G., Hutchinson, R.A., Richards, S.A. & Willis, S.G. (2010) Assessing the future threat from vivax malaria in the United Kingdom using two markedly different modelling approaches. Malaria Journal 9, 70.
Speed, M.P., Ruxton, G.D., Blount, J.D. & Stephens, P.A. (2010) Diversification of honest signals in a predator-prey system. Ecology Letters 13, 744-753.
Bywater, K., Apollonio, M., Cappai, N. & Stephens, P.A. (2010) Litter size and latitude in a large mammal: the wild boar Sus scrofa. Mammal Review 40, 212-220.
2009
N. Doswald, S.G. Willis, Y.C. Collingham, D.J. Pain, R.E. Green & B. Huntley (2009). Potential impacts of climatic change on the breeding and non-breeding ranges and migration distance of European Sylvia warblers. Journal of Biogeography 36(6): 1194-1208.
Gregory, R.D. Willis, S.G., Jiguet, F. Voříšek, P. Klvaňová, A. van Strien, A. Huntley, B. Collingham, Y.C. Couvet, D. & Green, R.E. (2009). An indicator of the impact of climatic change on European bird populations. PLoS One4(3): e4678.
Hole, D.G., Willis, S.G., Pain, D.J., Fishpool, L.D., Butchart, S.H.M., Collingham,Y.C., Rahbek, C. & Huntley, B. (2009). Projected impacts of climate change on a continental-scale protected area network. Ecology Letters12(5): 420-431.
Richards, S.A., Williams, N.M. & Harder, L.D. (2009). Variation in pollination: causes and consequences for plant reproduction. American Naturalist 174(3): 382-398.
Stephens, P.A., Boyd, I.L. McNamara, J.M. & Houston, A.I. (2009) Capital breeding and income breeding: their measurement, meaning and worth. Ecology 90, 2057-2067.
Stephens, P.A. (2009) Predictive models of weed population dynamics. Weed Research 49, 225-232.
Stephens, P.A. (2009) Warning displays may function as honest signals of toxicity. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London Series B, 276, 871-877.
Stephens, P.A., Dall, S.R.X. & Houston, A.I. (2009) Evolution of trust and trustworthiness: social awareness favours personality differences. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London Series B, 276, 605-613.
S.G. Willis, J.K. Hill, C.D. Thomas, D.B. Roy, R. Fox, D.S. Blakeley & B. Huntley (2009). Assisted colonization in a changing climate: A test-study using two UK butterflies. Conservation Letters 2(1): 46-52.
Willis, S.G., Thomas, C.D., Hill, J.K., Collingham, Y.C., Telfer, M., Fox, R. & Huntley, B. (2009). Dynamic distribution modelling: predicting the present from the past. Ecography 32: 5-12.
N. Doswald, S.G. Willis, Y.C. Collingham, D.J. Pain, R.E. Green & B. Huntley (2009). Potential impacts of climatic change on the breeding and non-breeding ranges and migration distance of European Sylvia warblers. Journal of Biogeography 36(6): 1194-1208.
Gregory, R.D. Willis, S.G., Jiguet, F. Voříšek, P. Klvaňová, A. van Strien, A. Huntley, B. Collingham, Y.C. Couvet, D. & Green, R.E. (2009). An indicator of the impact of climatic change on European bird populations. PLoS One4(3): e4678.
Hole, D.G., Willis, S.G., Pain, D.J., Fishpool, L.D., Butchart, S.H.M., Collingham,Y.C., Rahbek, C. & Huntley, B. (2009). Projected impacts of climate change on a continental-scale protected area network. Ecology Letters12(5): 420-431.
Richards, S.A., Williams, N.M. & Harder, L.D. (2009). Variation in pollination: causes and consequences for plant reproduction. American Naturalist 174(3): 382-398.
Stephens, P.A., Boyd, I.L. McNamara, J.M. & Houston, A.I. (2009) Capital breeding and income breeding: their measurement, meaning and worth. Ecology 90, 2057-2067.
Stephens, P.A. (2009) Predictive models of weed population dynamics. Weed Research 49, 225-232.
Stephens, P.A. (2009) Warning displays may function as honest signals of toxicity. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London Series B, 276, 871-877.
Stephens, P.A., Dall, S.R.X. & Houston, A.I. (2009) Evolution of trust and trustworthiness: social awareness favours personality differences. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London Series B, 276, 605-613.
S.G. Willis, J.K. Hill, C.D. Thomas, D.B. Roy, R. Fox, D.S. Blakeley & B. Huntley (2009). Assisted colonization in a changing climate: A test-study using two UK butterflies. Conservation Letters 2(1): 46-52.
Willis, S.G., Thomas, C.D., Hill, J.K., Collingham, Y.C., Telfer, M., Fox, R. & Huntley, B. (2009). Dynamic distribution modelling: predicting the present from the past. Ecography 32: 5-12.
2008
Green, R.E., Collingham, Y.C., Willis, S.G., Gregory, R.D., Smith, K.W. & Huntley, B. (2008). Performance of climate envelope models in retrodicting recent changes in bird populations from observed climatic change. Biology Letters 4: 599-602.
Huntley, B. Collingham, Y.C., Willis, S.G. & Green, R.E. (2008). Potential impacts of climatic change on European breeding birds. PLoSOne 3(1): e1439.
Harder, L.D., Richards, S.A. & Routley, M.B. (2008). Effects of reproductive compensation, gamete discounting and reproductive assurance on mating-system diversity in hermaphrodites. Evolution 62(1): 157-172.
Richards, S.A. (2008). Dealing with overdispersed count data in applied ecology. Journal of Applied Ecology45(1): 218-227.
Stephens, P.A., Barta, Z., McNamara, J.M. & Houston, A.I. (2008) Optimal annual routines: new tools for conservation biology?Ecological Applications, 18, 1563-1577.
Stephens, P.A. (2008) Modelling the effects of management on population dynamics: some lessons from annual weeds. Journal of Applied Ecology, 45, 1050-1058.
Stephens, P.A., Carbone, C., Boyd, I.L., McNamara, J.M., Harding, K.C. & Houston, A.I. (2008) The scaling of diving time budgets: insights from an optimality approach. American Naturalist, 171, 305-314.
Willis, S.G., Hole, D.G., Collingham, Y.C., Hilton, G., Rahbek, C. & Huntley, B. (2008). Assessing the impacts of future climate change on protected area networks: A method to simulate individual species responses. Environmental Management 43: 836-845.
Green, R.E., Collingham, Y.C., Willis, S.G., Gregory, R.D., Smith, K.W. & Huntley, B. (2008). Performance of climate envelope models in retrodicting recent changes in bird populations from observed climatic change. Biology Letters 4: 599-602.
Huntley, B. Collingham, Y.C., Willis, S.G. & Green, R.E. (2008). Potential impacts of climatic change on European breeding birds. PLoSOne 3(1): e1439.
Harder, L.D., Richards, S.A. & Routley, M.B. (2008). Effects of reproductive compensation, gamete discounting and reproductive assurance on mating-system diversity in hermaphrodites. Evolution 62(1): 157-172.
Richards, S.A. (2008). Dealing with overdispersed count data in applied ecology. Journal of Applied Ecology45(1): 218-227.
Stephens, P.A., Barta, Z., McNamara, J.M. & Houston, A.I. (2008) Optimal annual routines: new tools for conservation biology?Ecological Applications, 18, 1563-1577.
Stephens, P.A. (2008) Modelling the effects of management on population dynamics: some lessons from annual weeds. Journal of Applied Ecology, 45, 1050-1058.
Stephens, P.A., Carbone, C., Boyd, I.L., McNamara, J.M., Harding, K.C. & Houston, A.I. (2008) The scaling of diving time budgets: insights from an optimality approach. American Naturalist, 171, 305-314.
Willis, S.G., Hole, D.G., Collingham, Y.C., Hilton, G., Rahbek, C. & Huntley, B. (2008). Assessing the impacts of future climate change on protected area networks: A method to simulate individual species responses. Environmental Management 43: 836-845.
2007
Font, L., Nowell, GM., Pearson, DG., Ottley, C. & Willis, SG. (2007). Sr isotope analysis of bird feathers by TIMS: a tool to trace bird migration paths and breeding sites. Journal of Analytical Atomic Spectrometry 22(5): 513 - 522.
Houston, A.I., Stephens, P.A., Boyd, I.L., Harding, K.C. & McNamara, J.M. (2007) Capital or income breeding? A theoretical model of female reproductive strategies. Behavioral Ecology 18, 241-250.
Lindsay, S.W., Hole, D.G., Hutchinson R. & Willis, S.G. (2007). Future threat from vivax malaria in the United Kingdom. American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene 77(5): 170-170.
Richards, S.A. & Johnson, E.A. (2007). Using decomposition rates to infer how far back tree populations can be reconstructed. Ecology 88(6): 1582-1586.
Stephens, P.A. (2007) Null-hypothesis significance tests in education and inference. Trends in Ecology and Evolution, 22, 446.
Stephens, P.A., Buskirk, S.W. & Martínez del Rio, C. (2007) Inference in ecology and evolution. Trends in Ecology and Evolution, 22, 192-197.
Stephens, P.A., Buskirk, S.W., Hayward, G.D. & Martínez del Rio, C. (2007) A call for statistical pluralism answered. Journal of Applied Ecology, 44, 461-463.
Willis, S.G., Collingham, Y.C., Hilton, G., Green, R.E., Rahbek, C. & Huntley, B. (2007). Will the African Important Bird Areas network remain viable under a changing climate? Ostrich 78: 171-171.
Font, L., Nowell, GM., Pearson, DG., Ottley, C. & Willis, SG. (2007). Sr isotope analysis of bird feathers by TIMS: a tool to trace bird migration paths and breeding sites. Journal of Analytical Atomic Spectrometry 22(5): 513 - 522.
Houston, A.I., Stephens, P.A., Boyd, I.L., Harding, K.C. & McNamara, J.M. (2007) Capital or income breeding? A theoretical model of female reproductive strategies. Behavioral Ecology 18, 241-250.
Lindsay, S.W., Hole, D.G., Hutchinson R. & Willis, S.G. (2007). Future threat from vivax malaria in the United Kingdom. American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene 77(5): 170-170.
Richards, S.A. & Johnson, E.A. (2007). Using decomposition rates to infer how far back tree populations can be reconstructed. Ecology 88(6): 1582-1586.
Stephens, P.A. (2007) Null-hypothesis significance tests in education and inference. Trends in Ecology and Evolution, 22, 446.
Stephens, P.A., Buskirk, S.W. & Martínez del Rio, C. (2007) Inference in ecology and evolution. Trends in Ecology and Evolution, 22, 192-197.
Stephens, P.A., Buskirk, S.W., Hayward, G.D. & Martínez del Rio, C. (2007) A call for statistical pluralism answered. Journal of Applied Ecology, 44, 461-463.
Willis, S.G., Collingham, Y.C., Hilton, G., Green, R.E., Rahbek, C. & Huntley, B. (2007). Will the African Important Bird Areas network remain viable under a changing climate? Ostrich 78: 171-171.
